Chiba Lotte Marines vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Baseball NPB Chiba Lotte Marines - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
Result
2:5
05/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NPB
Chiba Lotte Marines - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Hits
69
Errors
01
Home Runs
02
Runs batted in
25
Base on Balls
54
Strikeouts
99
Stolen bases
00
At bat
3134
Batting Average
0.1940.265

Chances of winning


Chiba Lotte Marines
46%
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8% 50.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chiba Lotte Marines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiba Lotte Marines than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Chiba Lotte Marines - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.91)

    1.75
    (1.81)
    6%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Chiba won 3.
    • Chiba is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Fukuoka in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Chiba could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Fukuoka have a series of guest games.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Fukuoka to win the game is with odds 1.79.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Chiba won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 68:86 (average 3.4:4.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Chiba won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 37:57 (average 3.4:5.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chiba Lotte Marines - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks were as follows:
    11.09.2025 Chiba Lotte Marines - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks 9:1
    31.08.2025 Chiba Lotte Marines - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks 4:3
    30.08.2025 Chiba Lotte Marines - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks 6:4
    29.08.2025 Chiba Lotte Marines - Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks 1:3
    17.08.2025 Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Chiba Lotte Marines 1:0
    NPB Table
    Main

    Central Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Hanshin Tigers14385454496:3520.612
    2Yokohama BayStars14371666510:4560.518
    3Yomiuri Giants14370469463:4610.504
    4Chunichi Dragons14363278403:4630.447
    5Hiroshima Carp14359579441:4970.428
    6Yakult Swallows14357779443:5640.419


    Pacific Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Fukuoka S. Hawks14387452551:3890.626
    2Nippon Ham Fighters14383357548:4090.593
    3Orix Buffaloes14374366502:5190.529
    4Rakuten Gold. Eagles14367274446:5260.475
    5Seibu Lions14363377410:4650.450
    6Chiba Lotte Marines14356384441:5530.400

          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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