Chesterfield vs Mansfield Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Chesterfield - Mansfield Town
Result
0:2
12/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
  • Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)
Chesterfield - Mansfield Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.92
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
83% (466/562)63% (143/228)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.92
xG on target (xGOT)
1.301.83
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
2013
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1516
Passes
83% (466/562)63% (143/228)
Long passes
37% (22/60)25% (14/56)
Passes in final third
70% (125/178)47% (32/68)
Crosses
18% (6/34)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.320.53
Throw-ins
3710
Fouls
1715
Tackles
64% (9/14)70% (14/20)
Duels won
5956
Clearances
1539
Interceptions
29
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.831.30
Goals prevented
-0.171.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 1', Bowery J. 🟨,
  • 2', 0 - 1, Oates R. , Dwyer D. (A),
  • 36', Oates R. , Evans W. ,
  • 39', Dibley-Dias M. , Naylor T. ,
  • 45', Cargill B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Dwyer D. , Hewitt E. ,
  • 53', Lewis A. 🟨,
  • 59', 0 - 2, Evans W. ,
  • 65', Blake-Tracy F. , McLaughlin S. ,
  • 65', Maris G. , McDonnell J. ,
  • 68', Grigg W. , Bonis L. ,
  • 68', Dobra A. , Duffy D. ,
  • 73', Naylor T. 🟨,
  • 76', Darcy R. , Mandeville L. ,
  • 76', Markanday D. , Butterfield L. ,
  • 77', Sweeney R. , Hendry R. ,
  • 88', McDonnell J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chesterfield
45.6%
Draw
26.6%
Mansfield Town
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 26.7% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 26.4% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Chesterfield - Mansfield Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (2.11)
    3.55
    (3.51)
    3.36
    (3.25)
    5.4%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Mansfield Town?
  • Users Predictions: Chesterfield will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.94%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chesterfield will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Chesterfield has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Mansfield's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Chesterfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    Latest results of Mansfield Town
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    6PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    8ByeNottingham
    9TranmereBurton1 : 2
    10HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    12ByeChelsea
    13TottenhamBye
    15AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    16MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    17BournemouthBye
    18ByeBrentford
    20ByeAston Villa
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25LiverpoolBye
    27WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    28NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    29NewcastleBye
    31StokeWalsall1 : 0
    32BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    33BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    34ByeLeeds
    35GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    36ByeManchester Utd
    37WolvesBye
    38ByeWest Ham
    39EvertonBye
    40ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    41Crystal PalaceBye
    43NewportMillwall0 : 1
    44CoventryLuton1 : 0
    45BurnleyBye
    46West BromDerby1 : 2
    47CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    48CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    49BarrowPreston0 : 1
    50WrexhamHull4 : 3
    51PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    52GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    53WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    54Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    55BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    56Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    57BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    58SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    59Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    60ByeBrighton
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    4ByeNottingham
    5BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    6ByeChelsea
    7TottenhamBye
    8AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    9BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    10ByeAston Villa
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13LiverpoolBye
    14NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    15NewcastleBye
    16StokeBradford City0 : 3
    17Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    18GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    19WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    20EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    21Crystal PalaceBye
    22MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    23BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    24CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    25PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    26ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    27WiganStockport County1 : 0
    28BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    29BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    30Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal
    2SwanseaNottingham
    3LincolnChelsea
    4TottenhamDoncaster
    5BrentfordAston Villa
    6HuddersfieldManchester City
    7LiverpoolSouthampton
    8NewcastleBradford City
    9Sheffield WedGrimsby
    10WolvesEverton
    11Crystal PalaceMillwall
    12BurnleyCardiff
    13WrexhamReading
    14WiganWycombe
    15BarnsleyBrighton
    16FulhamCambridge Utd
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