Derby County vs Chesterfield: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Derby County - Chesterfield
Result
2:1
13/08/2024 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
  • Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
Derby County - Chesterfield - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
126
Shots on Goal
42
Shots off Goal
84
Blocked Shots
00
Corner Kicks
71
Goalkeeper Saves
12
Fouls
138
Yellow Cards
01
Attacks
95102
Dangerous Attacks
5935

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 29', 0 - 1, Dobra A. , Quigley J. (A),
  • 38', 1 - 1, Thompson L. , Brown D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Tanton D. , Daley-Campbell V. ,
  • 59', Barkhuizen T. , Jackson K. ,
  • 60', Cashin E. , Nelson C. ,
  • 60', Goudmijn K. , Osborn B. ,
  • 60', Wilson K. , Mendez-Laing N. ,
  • 65', Berry-McNally J. , Drummond K. ,
  • 67', Naylor T. , Grimes J. ,
  • 68', 2 - 1, Jackson K. ,
  • 69', Brown D. , Collins J. ,
  • 73', Quigley J. , Jacobs M. ,
  • 73', Banks O. , Akinola T. ,
  • 86', Daley-Campbell V. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Derby County
58.4%
Draw
23.7%
Chesterfield
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.2% 22.7% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9% 26.7% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Derby County - Chesterfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.54)
    4.07
    (4.15)
    5.22
    (5.87)
    4.9%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Derby County - Chesterfield?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 24 - 80%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 6 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 65.7%94.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Derby is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Chesterfield is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Derby could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Derby is a favorite.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Derby won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Chesterfield were as follows:
    24.07.2024 Derby County - Chesterfield 0:4
    19.07.2023 Chesterfield - Derby County 0:1
    Latest results of Derby County
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    6PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    8ByeNottingham
    9TranmereBurton1 : 2
    10HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    12ByeChelsea
    13TottenhamBye
    15AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    16MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    17BournemouthBye
    18ByeBrentford
    20ByeAston Villa
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25LiverpoolBye
    27WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    28NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    29NewcastleBye
    31StokeWalsall1 : 0
    32BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    33BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    34ByeLeeds
    35GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    36ByeManchester Utd
    37WolvesBye
    38ByeWest Ham
    39EvertonBye
    40ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    41Crystal PalaceBye
    43NewportMillwall0 : 1
    44CoventryLuton1 : 0
    45BurnleyBye
    46West BromDerby1 : 2
    47CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    48CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    49BarrowPreston0 : 1
    50WrexhamHull4 : 3
    51PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    52GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    53WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    54Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    55BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    56Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    57BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    58SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    59Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    60ByeBrighton
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    4ByeNottingham
    5BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    6ByeChelsea
    7TottenhamBye
    8AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    9BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    10ByeAston Villa
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13LiverpoolBye
    14NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    15NewcastleBye
    16StokeBradford City0 : 3
    17Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    18GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    19WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    20EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    21Crystal PalaceBye
    22MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    23BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    24CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    25PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    26ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    27WiganStockport County1 : 0
    28BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    29BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    30Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal
    2SwanseaNottingham
    3LincolnChelsea
    4TottenhamDoncaster
    5BrentfordAston Villa
    6HuddersfieldManchester City
    7LiverpoolSouthampton
    8NewcastleBradford City
    9Sheffield WedGrimsby
    10WolvesEverton
    11Crystal PalaceMillwall
    12BurnleyCardiff
    13WrexhamReading
    14WiganWycombe
    15BarnsleyBrighton
    16FulhamCambridge Utd
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