Derby County vs Chesterfield: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Derby County - Chesterfield
Result
2:1
13/08/2024 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
  • Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
Derby County - Chesterfield - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
126
Shots on Goal
42
Shots off Goal
84
Blocked Shots
00
Corner Kicks
71
Goalkeeper Saves
12
Fouls
138
Yellow Cards
01
Attacks
95102
Dangerous Attacks
5935

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 29', 0 - 1, Dobra A. , Quigley J. (A),
  • 38', 1 - 1, Thompson L. , Brown D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Tanton D. , Daley-Campbell V. ,
  • 59', Barkhuizen T. , Jackson K. ,
  • 60', Cashin E. , Nelson C. ,
  • 60', Goudmijn K. , Osborn B. ,
  • 60', Wilson K. , Mendez-Laing N. ,
  • 65', Berry-McNally J. , Drummond K. ,
  • 67', Naylor T. , Grimes J. ,
  • 68', 2 - 1, Jackson K. ,
  • 69', Brown D. , Collins J. ,
  • 73', Quigley J. , Jacobs M. ,
  • 73', Banks O. , Akinola T. ,
  • 86', Daley-Campbell V. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Derby County
58.4%
Draw
23.7%
Chesterfield
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.2% 22.7% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9% 26.7% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Derby County - Chesterfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.54)
    4.07
    (4.15)
    5.22
    (5.87)
    4.9%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Derby County - Chesterfield?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 24 - 80%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 6 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 65.7%94.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Derby is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Chesterfield is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Derby could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Derby is a favorite.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Derby won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Chesterfield were as follows:
    24.07.2024 Derby County - Chesterfield 0:4
    19.07.2023 Chesterfield - Derby County 0:1
    Latest results of Derby County
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    Draw
    Preliminary

    Final
    1AccringtonOldham
    2BarnetNewport
    X
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