Derby County vs Chesterfield: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Derby County - Chesterfield
Result
2:1
13/08/2024 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
  • Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
Derby County - Chesterfield - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
126
Shots on Goal
42
Shots off Goal
84
Blocked Shots
00
Corner Kicks
71
Goalkeeper Saves
12
Fouls
138
Yellow Cards
01
Attacks
95102
Dangerous Attacks
5935

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 29', 0 - 1, Dobra A. , Quigley J. (A),
  • 38', 1 - 1, Thompson L. , Brown D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Tanton D. , Daley-Campbell V. ,
  • 59', Barkhuizen T. , Jackson K. ,
  • 60', Cashin E. , Nelson C. ,
  • 60', Goudmijn K. , Osborn B. ,
  • 60', Wilson K. , Mendez-Laing N. ,
  • 65', Berry-McNally J. , Drummond K. ,
  • 67', Naylor T. , Grimes J. ,
  • 68', 2 - 1, Jackson K. ,
  • 69', Brown D. , Collins J. ,
  • 73', Quigley J. , Jacobs M. ,
  • 73', Banks O. , Akinola T. ,
  • 86', Daley-Campbell V. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Derby County
58.4%
Draw
23.7%
Chesterfield
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.2% 22.7% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9% 26.7% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Derby County - Chesterfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.54)
    4.07
    (4.15)
    5.22
    (5.87)
    4.9%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Derby County - Chesterfield?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 24 - 80%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 6 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 65.7%94.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Derby is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Chesterfield is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Derby could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Derby is a favorite.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Derby won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Chesterfield were as follows:
    24.07.2024 Derby County - Chesterfield 0:4
    19.07.2023 Chesterfield - Derby County 0:1
    Latest results of Derby County
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    6SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    7Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    8ByeBrighton
    9BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    10ByeLeeds
    11GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    12ByeManchester Utd
    13BournemouthBye
    14ByeBrentford
    16ByeAston Villa
    17SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    18PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    20ByeNottingham
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25NewcastleBye
    27StokeWalsall1 : 0
    28BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    29TottenhamBye
    31AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    32MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    33BarrowPreston0 : 1
    34WrexhamHull4 : 3
    35PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    36GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    37BurnleyBye
    38West BromDerby1 : 2
    39CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    40CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    41LiverpoolBye
    43WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    44NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    45Crystal PalaceBye
    47NewportMillwall0 : 1
    48CoventryLuton1 : 0
    49WolvesBye
    50ByeWest Ham
    51EvertonBye
    52ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    53TranmereBurton1 : 2
    54HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    56ByeChelsea
    57WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    58Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    59BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    60Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    4Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    5Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    6GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    7BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    8ByeAston Villa
    9SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    10ByeNottingham
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13NewcastleBye
    14StokeBradford City0 : 3
    15TottenhamBye
    16AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    17PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    18ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    19BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    20CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    21LiverpoolBye
    22NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    23Crystal PalaceBye
    24MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    25WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    26EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    27BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    28ByeChelsea
    29WiganStockport County1 : 0
    30BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal0 : 2
    2BarnsleyBrighton0 : 6
    3Sheffield WedGrimsby0 : 1
    4BrentfordAston Villa2 : 1
    5SwanseaNottingham3 : 2
    6HuddersfieldManchester City0 : 2
    7NewcastleBradford City4 : 1
    8TottenhamDoncaster3 : 0
    9WrexhamReading2 : 0
    10BurnleyCardiff1 : 2
    11LiverpoolSouthampton2 : 1
    12Crystal PalaceMillwall2 : 1
    13WolvesEverton2 : 0
    14LincolnChelsea1 : 2
    15WiganWycombe0 : 2
    16FulhamCambridge Utd1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ArsenalBrighton
    2GrimsbyBrentford
    3SwanseaManchester City
    4NewcastleTottenham
    5WrexhamCardiff
    6LiverpoolCrystal Palace
    7WolvesChelsea
    8WycombeFulham
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