Chesterfield vs Crawley Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Chesterfield - Crawley Town
Result
2:2
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 6
  • Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
Chesterfield - Crawley Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.741.12
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
113
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
76% (305/403)65% (183/281)
Yellow Cards
45
Expected Goals (xG)
0.741.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.091.98
Total shots
113
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
40
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
72
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
2320
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1320
Passes
76% (305/403)65% (183/281)
Long passes
42% (30/71)24% (16/66)
Passes in final third
70% (115/165)41% (34/82)
Crosses
21% (5/24)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.340.25
Throw-ins
2126
Fouls
2015
Tackles
55% (11/20)48% (10/21)
Duels won
7165
Clearances
3227
Interceptions
35
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.981.09
Goals prevented
-0.02-0.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', Barker C. 🟨,
  • 9', 0 - 1, McKirdy H. , Barker C. (A),
  • 20', Darcy R. 🟨,
  • 36', 0 - 2, McKirdy H. (Pen),
  • 36', McKirdy H. 🟨,
  • 45', Bajrami G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 49', Scott K. 🟨,
  • 51', Gordon L. 🟨,
  • 54', Dobra A. 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 2, Duffy D. , Daley-Campbell V. (A),
  • 58', 2 - 2, Dobra A. , Daley-Campbell V. (A),
  • 61', Bajrami G. , Tshimanga K. ,
  • 61', Watson L. , Pereira D. ,
  • 61', Adeyemo A. , Flower L. ,
  • 66', Cashman D. , Forster H. ,
  • 69', Duffy D. , Markanday D. ,
  • 69', Dibley-Dias M. , Naylor T. ,
  • 70', Darcy R. , Grigg W. ,
  • 76', McKirdy H. , Anderson M. ,
  • 79', Daley-Campbell V. , Mandeville L. ,
  • 84', Dobra A. , Lewis A. ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,
  • 90+4', Lewis A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chesterfield
57.1%
Draw
23.8%
Crawley Town
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.1% 22.6% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8% 22% 15.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chesterfield, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Chesterfield - Crawley Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.53)
    4.03
    (4.15)
    4.92
    (5.76)
    3.6%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Crawley Town?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 10 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chesterfield (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Chesterfield has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Crawley is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Chesterfield is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Chesterfield: Butterfield L. (Foot Injury) Donacien J. (Hamstring Injury) Tanton D. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chesterfield: Berry-McNally J. (Injury) Williams T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Crawley: Forster H. (Injury) Pereira D. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1071215:8722
    2Swindon1070321:13821
    3Gillingham1063115:7821
    4Salford1061317:13419
    5Grimsby1053221:13818
    6Chesterfield1053218:13518
    7Bristol Rovers1052312:11117
    8Crewe1051414:11316
    9MK Dons1043316:10615
    10Cambridge Utd1043311:9215
    11Fleetwood1043315:14115
    12Notts Co1042417:12514
    13Oldham103529:6314
    14Bromley1035214:12214
    15Barnet1042412:12014
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow104069:12-312
    18Tranmere924313:12110
    19Accrington92347:11-49
    20Colchester1015410:14-48
    21Crawley102268:17-98
    22Newport1012710:20-105
    23Shrewsbury101277:20-135
    24Cheltenham101184:24-204

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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