Chesterfield vs Crawley Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Chesterfield - Crawley Town
Result
2:2
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 6
  • Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
Chesterfield - Crawley Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.741.12
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
113
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
76% (305/403)65% (183/281)
Yellow Cards
45
Expected Goals (xG)
0.741.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.091.98
Total shots
113
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
40
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
72
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
2320
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1320
Passes
76% (305/403)65% (183/281)
Long passes
42% (30/71)24% (16/66)
Passes in final third
70% (115/165)41% (34/82)
Crosses
21% (5/24)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.340.25
Throw-ins
2126
Fouls
2015
Tackles
55% (11/20)48% (10/21)
Duels won
7165
Clearances
3227
Interceptions
35
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.981.09
Goals prevented
-0.02-0.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', Barker C. 🟨,
  • 9', 0 - 1, McKirdy H. , Barker C. (A),
  • 20', Darcy R. 🟨,
  • 36', 0 - 2, McKirdy H. (Pen),
  • 36', McKirdy H. 🟨,
  • 45', Bajrami G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 49', Scott K. 🟨,
  • 51', Gordon L. 🟨,
  • 54', Dobra A. 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 2, Duffy D. , Daley-Campbell V. (A),
  • 58', 2 - 2, Dobra A. , Daley-Campbell V. (A),
  • 61', Bajrami G. , Tshimanga K. ,
  • 61', Watson L. , Pereira D. ,
  • 61', Adeyemo A. , Flower L. ,
  • 66', Cashman D. , Forster H. ,
  • 69', Duffy D. , Markanday D. ,
  • 69', Dibley-Dias M. , Naylor T. ,
  • 70', Darcy R. , Grigg W. ,
  • 76', McKirdy H. , Anderson M. ,
  • 79', Daley-Campbell V. , Mandeville L. ,
  • 84', Dobra A. , Lewis A. ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,
  • 90+4', Lewis A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chesterfield
57.1%
Draw
23.8%
Crawley Town
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.1% 22.6% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8% 22% 15.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chesterfield, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Chesterfield - Crawley Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.53)
    4.03
    (4.15)
    4.92
    (5.76)
    3.6%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Crawley Town?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 10 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chesterfield (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Chesterfield has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Crawley is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Chesterfield is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Chesterfield: Butterfield L. (Foot Injury) Donacien J. (Hamstring Injury) Tanton D. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chesterfield: Berry-McNally J. (Injury) Williams T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Crawley: Forster H. (Injury) Pereira D. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gillingham743011:5615
    2Swindon750214:9515
    3Walsall75027:4315
    4Grimsby742113:8514
    5Bromley734012:7513
    6Crewe741211:7413
    7Chesterfield741211:9213
    8Salford741210:8213
    9MK Dons732212:6611
    10Notts Co732212:9311
    11Fleetwood73229:9011
    12Cambridge Utd73138:7110
    13Bristol Rovers73137:8-110
    14Tranmere622210:738
    15Harrogate72237:9-28
    16Colchester71427:8-17
    17Oldham71424:5-17
    18Barnet72146:10-47
    19Barrow72055:9-46
    20Crawley71245:11-65
    21Shrewsbury71245:13-85
    22Newport71157:12-54
    23Cheltenham71153:12-94
    24Accrington60333:7-43

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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