Cheltenham Town vs Chesterfield: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Cheltenham Town - Chesterfield
Result
0:2
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 2
  • Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)
Cheltenham Town - Chesterfield - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.592.11
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
616
Shots on target
28
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
54% (135/252)66% (213/324)
Yellow Cards
71
Expected Goals (xG)
0.592.11
xG on target (xGOT)
0.361.78
Total shots
616
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
312
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1225
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1417
Passes
54% (135/252)66% (213/324)
Long passes
29% (24/84)24% (21/86)
Passes in final third
42% (43/103)58% (89/153)
Crosses
36% (4/11)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.511.04
Throw-ins
3525
Fouls
1916
Tackles
63% (12/19)65% (13/20)
Duels won
7373
Clearances
3447
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
1.780.36
Goals prevented
-0.220.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Broom R. 🟨,
  • 25', Angol L. 🟨,
  • 37', Bennett S. 🟨,
  • 41', Archer E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 47', 0 - 1, Gordon L. ,
  • 51', Angol L. , Bickerstaff J. ,
  • 51', Broom R. , Thomas J. ,
  • 52', Bonis L. 🟨,
  • 62', Bickerstaff J. 🟨,
  • 64', Kinsella L. , Tustin H. ,
  • 65', Bennett S. , Harmon G. ,
  • 67', Jude-Boyd A. 🟨,
  • 68', 0 - 2, Duffy D. ,
  • 72', Bonis L. , Grigg W. ,
  • 72', Duffy D. , Darcy R. ,
  • 80', Mazionis J. 🟨,
  • 86', Dobra A. , Mandeville L. ,
  • 86', Naylor T. , Dibley-Dias M. ,
  • 90+2', Markanday D. , Lewis A. ,
  • 90+2', Jude-Boyd A. , Power D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cheltenham Town
25.6%
Draw
26.3%
Chesterfield
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 26.5% 44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 26.7% 44.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Cheltenham Town - Chesterfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.65
    (3.25)
    3.54
    (3.54)
    1.95
    (2.11)
    6.9%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Chesterfield?
  • Users Predictions: Chesterfield will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Chesterfield may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Chesterfield has had a series of home games.
    • Chesterfield will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Chesterfield: Tanton D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Chesterfield were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Cheltenham Town - Chesterfield 1:0
    21.09.2024 Chesterfield - Cheltenham Town 1:1
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Crewe540110:3712
    2Chesterfield54019:6312
    3MK Dons532010:2811
    4Grimsby532010:5511
    5Gillingham53208:3511
    6Bromley52308:539
    7Walsall53025:419
    8Swindon53028:809
    9Salford53026:609
    10Tranmere42208:268
    11Harrogate52217:618
    12Fleetwood52218:808
    13Cambridge Utd52126:607
    14Barrow52034:5-16
    15Barnet52034:6-26
    16Notts Co51229:815
    17Colchester51225:6-15
    18Oldham50413:4-14
    19Newport51135:7-24
    20Bristol Rovers51133:6-34
    21Accrington40223:6-32
    22Crawley50142:9-71
    23Shrewsbury50142:12-101
    24Cheltenham50051:11-100

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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