Chesterfield vs Burton Albion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English EFL Trophy Chesterfield - Burton Albion
Result
1:0
07/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Trophy
Chesterfield - Burton Albion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.16
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
55
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
76% (303/399)82% (459/563)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.16
xG on target (xGOT)
1.230.04
Total shots
55
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
11
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
33
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
59
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
914
Passes
76% (303/399)82% (459/563)
Long passes
29% (21/73)38% (28/74)
Passes in final third
51% (51/100)53% (70/132)
Crosses
0% (0/1)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.110.25
Throw-ins
2533
Fouls
149
Tackles
76% (13/17)67% (6/9)
Duels won
3936
Clearances
267
Interceptions
157
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.041.23
Goals prevented
0.040.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Naylor T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Fleck J. , Stirk R. ,
  • 46', Armer J. , Hartridge A. ,
  • 46', Chauke K. , Williamson J. ,
  • 46', Lofthouse K. , Godwin-Malife U. ,
  • 63', Berry-McNally J. , Dobra A. ,
  • 63', Donacien J. , Grimes J. ,
  • 63', Dickson W. , Bonis L. ,
  • 72', Delap F. , Matthews D. ,
  • 73', Lewis A. , Gordon L. ,
  • 79', 1 - 0, Bonis L. ,
  • 81', McKiernan J. J. , Lay M. ,

Chances of winning


Chesterfield
42.7%
Draw
25.1%
Burton Albion
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 25.4% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 25.1% 29.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Chesterfield - Burton Albion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.09)
    3.73
    (3.65)
    2.9
    (3.06)
    7.5%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Burton Albion?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chesterfield (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Chesterfield will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Chesterfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Chesterfield is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.8:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Burton Albion were as follows:
    08.07.2025 Chesterfield - Burton Albion 5:0
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    English EFL Trophy Table
    2025/26

    Group 1
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    1Salford220005:16
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    3Wolves U21210015:63
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    Group 2
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    1Tranmere211004:35
    2Blackpool110005:03
    3Nottingham U21100102:21
    4Barrow200021:70


    Group 3
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    1Doncaster220005:16
    2Bradford City110002:13
    3Everton U21100011:20
    4Grimsby200021:50


    Group 4
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    3Barnsley100011:20
    4Manchester Utd U21100010:30


    Group 5
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    1Bolton220004:06
    2Manchester City U21210015:43
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    4Oldham200023:80


    Group 6
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    2Huddersfield210016:33
    3Mansfield100010:10
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    Group 7
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    1Port Vale220006:16
    2Fleetwood211006:25
    3Accrington200112:41
    4Leeds U21200021:80


    Group 8
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    1Crewe110007:13
    2Burton210012:13
    3Chesterfield210012:73
    4Liverpool U21100010:20


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    Group 10
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    2Bristol Rovers211005:45
    3Tottenham U21200116:101
    4Cheltenham200020:30


    Group 11
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    Group 16
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