Chesterfield vs Bristol Rovers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Chesterfield - Bristol Rovers
Result
3:1
16/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 3
  • Referee: Mulhall S. (Eng)
Chesterfield - Bristol Rovers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.261.55
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
207
Shots on target
103
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
86% (448/518)59% (138/233)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.261.55
xG on target (xGOT)
2.121.31
Total shots
207
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
349
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
118
Passes
86% (448/518)59% (138/233)
Long passes
43% (33/77)29% (23/78)
Passes in final third
72% (125/173)39% (28/71)
Crosses
50% (6/12)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.710.74
Throw-ins
2014
Fouls
911
Tackles
67% (4/6)44% (8/18)
Duels won
4949
Clearances
3523
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
1.312.12
Goals prevented
0.31-0.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', McFadzean K. 🟨,
  • 39', Senior J. 🟥,
  • 41', 1 - 0, Naylor T. , Duffy D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Lopata K. , Sotiriou R. ,
  • 46', Harrison E. , Southam-Hales M. ,
  • 51', Naylor T. 🟨,
  • 58', Sparkes J. 🟨,
  • 58', Daley-Campbell V. 🟨,
  • 61', McEachran J. , Hutchinson I. ,
  • 64', Duffy D. , Darcy R. ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Hutchinson I. ,
  • 70', Omochere P. , Cavegn F. ,
  • 72', Mola C. 🟨,
  • 76', Howley R. , Moore T. ,
  • 81', Sotiriou R. 🟨,
  • 83', Daley-Campbell V. , Lewis A. ,
  • 83', Gordon L. , Mandeville L. ,
  • 83', Naylor T. , Grigg W. ,
  • 83', Bonis L. , Fleck J. ,
  • 84', 2 - 1, McFadzean K. , Lewis A. (A),
  • 88', 3 - 1, Dobra A. , Mandeville L. (A),

Chances of winning


Chesterfield
53.7%
Draw
24.7%
Bristol Rovers
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 23.1% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 22.7% 21.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Chesterfield - Bristol Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.69)
    3.77
    (4.03)
    4.35
    (4.27)
    6.7%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Bristol Rovers?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chesterfield (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Chesterfield will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 3.
    • Chesterfield has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bristol Rovers is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Chesterfield is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Chesterfield: Donacien J. (Hamstring Injury) Tanton D. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Forde S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Chesterfield: Dibley-Dias M. (Injury) Fleck J. (Shin Injury) Williams T. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    Latest results of Bristol Rovers
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gillingham64209:3614
    2Chesterfield641111:8313
    3Bromley633010:5512
    4Crewe640210:6412
    5Swindon640211:8312
    6Walsall64026:4212
    7MK Dons632110:3711
    8Grimsby632110:6411
    9Fleetwood63219:8111
    10Cambridge Utd63128:6210
    11Salford63127:7010
    12Tranmere52219:458
    13Notts Co622211:928
    14Harrogate62227:8-18
    15Barnet62135:7-27
    16Bristol Rovers62134:6-27
    17Colchester61326:7-16
    18Barrow62044:6-26
    19Oldham60423:5-24
    20Newport61145:9-44
    21Accrington50323:6-33
    22Crawley60244:11-72
    23Shrewsbury60242:12-102
    24Cheltenham60152:12-101

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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