Chernomorets Novorossiysk vs KAMAZ: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Russian FNL Chernomorets Novorossiysk - KAMAZ
Result
1:0
29/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : FNL - Round 12
  • Referee: Zhabchenko A. (Ukr)
Chernomorets Novorossiysk - KAMAZ - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
122
Shots on target
31
Corner Kicks
213
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
122
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
91
Corner Kicks
213
Free Kicks
1718

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', Sultonov M. 🟨,
  • 13', Puzanov S. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Zhigulev I. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Deryugin A. , Abdullahi S. ,
  • 46', Karaev D. , Shamkin D. ,
  • 49', Yudintsev G. 🟨,
  • 52', Yudintsev G. , Golybin R. ,
  • 61', Aliev S. , Kukharchuk I. ,
  • 64', Tarba Z. , Zarypbekov E. ,
  • 64', Rodionov I. , Gurchenko D. ,
  • 72', Ayukin R. , Abdullaev S. ,
  • 75', Puzanov S. , Zhilkin G. ,
  • 80', Khubaev D. , Solodukhin A. ,
  • 82', Zhigulev I. , Lozhkin V. ,
  • 88', Shtepa M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chernomorets Novorossiysk
38.2%
Draw
31.4%
KAMAZ
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 33.7% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 34.2% 33.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chernomorets Novorossiysk's performance.
  • KAMAZ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chernomorets Novorossiysk that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for KAMAZ than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk - KAMAZ Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.8)
    3.18
    (2.75)
    3.3
    (2.8)
    4.6%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 3.
    • Chernomorets is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • KAMAZ has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • KAMAZ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chernomorets won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chernomorets Novorossiysk - KAMAZ were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - KAMAZ 2:1
    07.09.2024 KAMAZ - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 0:1
    20.04.2024 KAMAZ - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 1:0
    18.10.2023 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - KAMAZ 1:0
    27.08.2023 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - KAMAZ 0:0
    Latest results of KAMAZ
    25.09.2025 KAMAZ - Spartak Kostroma 1:0
    20.09.2025 KAMAZ - Shinnik 0:0
    14.09.2025 Rotor - KAMAZ 3:0
    07.09.2025 KAMAZ - Torpedo Moscow 1:1
    03.09.2025 Sokol Saratov - KAMAZ 0:2
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1S. Kostroma1384121:12928
    2Fakel Voronezh1383212:8427
    3Ural1373321:15624
    4Chelyabinsk1365218:10823
    5R. Volgograd1364318:71122
    6Kamaz1364321:14722
    7Rodina Moscow1355319:13620
    8SKA Khabarovsk1354415:14119
    9Neftekhimik1346313:13018
    10Shinnik Yaroslavl1345410:10017
    11Arsenal Tula1437420:18216
    12Chernomorets Novorossijsk1343618:17115
    13Ufa1427515:16-113
    14Ulyanovsk1333713:23-1012
    15Yenisey132567:14-711
    16Saratov141768:16-810
    17Torpedo Moscow1424810:22-1210
    18FK Chayka131579:26-178

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