Result
22/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : efbet League - Round 9
- Referee: Minev V. (Bul)
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Chances of winning
Arda Kardzhali
36.5% | Draw
32% | Cherno More Varna
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arda Kardzhali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Cherno More Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arda Kardzhali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cherno More Varna than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Arda Kardzhali - Cherno More Varna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(2.21) |
2.93 ↓
(3.1) |
2.95 ↓
(3.1) |
7.3%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali - Cherno More Varna?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Arda will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Cherno More will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Arda (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arda won 1.
- Arda is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Cherno More has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Arda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Arda won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arda won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Arda Kardzhali won against Cherno More Varna?
Arda Kardzhali has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cherno More Varna won against Arda Kardzhali?
Cherno More Varna has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arda Kardzhali - Cherno More Varna were as follows:
18.05.2025
Arda Kardzhali
-
Cherno More Varna
0:0
04.05.2025
Cherno More Varna
-
Arda Kardzhali
1:1
02.04.2025
Arda Kardzhali
-
Cherno More Varna
4:0
15.09.2024
Cherno More Varna
-
Arda Kardzhali
1:1
07.11.2023
Cherno More Varna
-
Arda Kardzhali
1:0
Latest results of Arda Kardzhali
Latest results of Cherno More Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15:4 | 11 | 20 |
| 2 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:8 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:3 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Lok. Plovdiv | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 16 |
| 5 | Cherno More | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 15 |
| 6 | Lok. Sofia | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Montana | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 | Beroe | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Spartak Varna | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Botev Vratsa | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Arda | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | CSKA Sofia | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Botev Plovdiv | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 14 | Dobrudzha | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 | Slavia Sofia | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 | Septemvri Sofia | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 6 |
Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
efbet League (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Arda Kardzhali - Cherno More Varna?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
