Chelyabinsk vs Fakel: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Russian FNL Chelyabinsk - Fakel
Result
1:1
04/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : FNL - Round 8
  • Referee: Matveev S. (Rus)
Chelyabinsk - Fakel - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
95
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
55
Corner Kicks
43
Free Kicks
1210
Goalkeeper Saves
48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Zhuravlev Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 61', Abdokov N. , Magomedov B. ,
  • 61', Uridia M. , Gongadze G. ,
  • 73', Gatin B. , Pushkarev D. ,
  • 73', N'Diaye B. , Gapechkin A. ,
  • 80', Gadzhimuradov R. , Nosov A. ,
  • 82', Gaponov I. , Gabaraev A. ,
  • 82', Bagamaev A. , Simonov K. ,
  • 82', Alshin I. , Giorgobiani N. ,
  • 90+3', Kertanov K. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 0 - 1, Giorgobiani N. ,
  • 90+7', Giorgobiani N. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Magkeev S. 🟨,
  • 90+10', 1 - 1, Levin G. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chelyabinsk
24.7%
Draw
31.1%
Fakel
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29% 32% 39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1% 32.1% 38.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chelyabinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fakel's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fakel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Chelyabinsk - Fakel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.83
    (3.24)
    3.04
    (2.93)
    2.14
    (2.4)
    5.7%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Chelyabinsk - Fakel?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Fakel will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fakel (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
    • Recent performances by Chelyabinsk have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Fakel is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Fakel will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Chelyabinsk
    Latest results of Fakel
    31.08.2025 Ural - Fakel 2:0
    11.08.2025 KAMAZ - Fakel 1:2
    03.08.2025 Fakel - Sokol Saratov 1:0
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1S. Kostroma1182120:11926
    2Ural1173119:81124
    3Fakel Voronezh1172210:7323
    4Chelyabinsk1163218:10821
    5R. Volgograd1163218:51321
    6Kamaz1154216:12419
    7Rodina Moscow1144317:13416
    8Neftekhimik1135312:13-114
    9Arsenal Tula1135317:14314
    10Shinnik Yaroslavl113537:7014
    11SKA Khabarovsk1134410:12-213
    12Ulyanovsk1132611:20-911
    13Ufa1124513:14-110
    14Yenisey112457:13-610
    15Chernomorets Novorossijsk1123613:16-39
    16Saratov111555:11-68
    17Torpedo Moscow111376:16-106
    18FK Chayka111379:26-176

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
          Relegation

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