Chelsea vs Liverpool: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English Premier League Chelsea - Liverpool
Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 7
  • Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)
Chelsea - Liverpool - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.881.74
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
83% (414/500)83% (368/444)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.881.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.781.00
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2224
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
89
Passes
83% (414/500)83% (368/444)
Long passes
42% (28/66)42% (18/43)
Passes in final third
72% (112/155)68% (79/117)
Crosses
16% (3/19)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.941.61
Throw-ins
1724
Fouls
98
Tackles
52% (11/21)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4132
Clearances
1225
Interceptions
139
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.000.78
Goals prevented
0.00-1.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Caicedo M. , Gusto M. (A),
  • 34', Bradley C. 🟨,
  • 40', Maresca E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Bradley C. , Wirtz F. ,
  • 55', Badiashile B. , Lavia R. ,
  • 55', Kerkez M. , Robertson A. ,
  • 56', Konate I. , Jones C. ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Gakpo C. , Isak A. (A),
  • 68', Acheampong J. , Hato J. ,
  • 74', Isak A. , Ekitike H. ,
  • 75', Joao Pedro , Guiu M. ,
  • 75', Garnacho A. , Gittens J. ,
  • 75', Neto P. , Estêvão ,
  • 79', Szoboszlai D. 🟨,
  • 82', Slot A. 🟨,
  • 86', Mac Allister A. , Endo W. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Estêvão , Cucurella M. (A),
  • 90+7', Maresca E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Chelsea
36.6%
Draw
26.7%
Liverpool
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.6% 26.5% 39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9% 26.8% 39.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Chelsea - Liverpool Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (2.84)
    3.76
    (3.6)
    2.8
    (2.39)
    -0.7%
    (4.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Chelsea - Liverpool?
  • Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 12 - 19%). Liverpool will win (votes: 26 - 41.3%). It will Tie (votes: 25 - 39.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 29.1%53.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Liverpool (votes: 3 - 20%). Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Liverpool (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Chelsea: Adarabioyo T. (Calf Injury) Chalobah T. (Red Card) Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Delap L. (Hamstring Injury) Essugo D. (Thigh Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended) Palmer C. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Liverpool: Alisson (Groin Injury) Chambers L. (Back Injury) Leoni G. (Knee Injury) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chelsea: Andrey Santos (Injury) Fofana W. (Concussion)
    • There are questionable in Liverpool: Chiesa F. (Knock) Ekitike H. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chelsea won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chelsea - Liverpool were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Chelsea - Liverpool 3:1
    20.10.2024 Liverpool - Chelsea 2:1
    25.02.2024 Chelsea - Liverpool 0:1
    31.01.2024 Liverpool - Chelsea 4:1
    13.08.2023 Chelsea - Liverpool 1:1
    Latest results of Chelsea
    30.09.2025 Chelsea - Benfica 1:0
    23.09.2025 Lincoln City - Chelsea 1:2
    17.09.2025 Bayern Munich - Chelsea 3:1
    Latest results of Liverpool
    30.09.2025 Galatasaray - Liverpool 1:0
    27.09.2025 Crystal Palace - Liverpool 2:1
    23.09.2025 Liverpool - Southampton 2:1
    20.09.2025 Liverpool - Everton 2:1
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal751114:31116
    2Liverpool750213:9415
    3Tottenham742113:5814
    4Bournemouth742111:8314
    5Manchester City741215:6913
    6Crystal Palace73319:5412
    7Chelsea732213:9411
    8Everton73229:7211
    9Sunderland73227:6111
    10Manchester Utd73139:11-210
    11Newcastle72326:519
    12Brighton723210:1009
    13Aston Villa72326:7-19
    14Fulham72238:11-38
    15Leeds72237:11-48
    16Brentford72149:12-37
    17Nottingham71245:12-75
    18Burnley71157:15-84
    19West Ham71156:16-104
    20Wolves70255:14-92

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Which TV channels are streaming of Chelsea - Liverpool?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
    asiaAsiabeIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Star Sports 3 Asia, TOD
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV, Setanta Sports 1
    belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
    czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 4, CANAL+ Sport 5, CANAL+ Sport 6, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
    denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay
    europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
    finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
    franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 7
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 3, Nova Sports Premier League
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, NOW Premier League 2, Now Sports Premier League TV
    hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
    icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 2, SÝN Sport
    indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar, Star Sports 3, Star Sports Select 1
    indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
    irelandIrelandNOW
    israelIsraelSport 1
    italyItalySky Sport Uno
    japanJapanU-NEXT
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1, SuperSport 2
    kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
    malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 2
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
    moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
    myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
    nepalNepalKantipur Max
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport Premier League
    nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1
    portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
    romaniaRomaniaVoyo
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
    singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 1
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
    south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
    tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
    thailandThailandAIS PLAY
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
    ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Sports UHD
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaFubo Sports Network, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, TeleXitos, UNIVERSO NOW
    uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
    vietnamVietnamK+ Sport 1
    worldWorldSport 24, Sport 24 At Sea
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