Chelsea vs Liverpool: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English Premier League Chelsea - Liverpool
Result
3:1
04/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 35
  • Referee: Hooper S. (Eng)
Chelsea - Liverpool - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.911.17
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
84% (291/345)88% (549/622)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.911.17
xG on target (xGOT)
3.040.23
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
149
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
3335
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
60
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
84% (291/345)88% (549/622)
Long passes
34% (16/47)44% (17/39)
Passes in final third
64% (59/92)74% (116/157)
Crosses
43% (3/7)35% (8/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.271.07
Throw-ins
1224
Fouls
1011
Tackles
65% (11/17)78% (7/9)
Duels won
4030
Clearances
3311
Interceptions
123
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.233.04
Goals prevented
-0.771.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Fernandez E. , Neto P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 51', van Dijk V. 🟨,
  • 54', Chalobah T. 🟨,
  • 56', 2 - 0, Quansah J. (Own goal),
  • 57', Alexander-Arnold T. , Bradley C. ,
  • 58', Diogo Jota , Nunez D. ,
  • 58', Quansah J. 🟨,
  • 69', Elliott H. , Szoboszlai D. ,
  • 69', Endo W. , Mac Allister A. ,
  • 72', Jackson N. , Sancho J. ,
  • 78', Lavia R. , Gusto M. ,
  • 82', Tsimikas K. , Chiesa F. ,
  • 84', Sancho J. 🟨,
  • 85', 2 - 1, van Dijk V. , Mac Allister A. (A),
  • 88', Fernandez E. , James R. ,
  • 90+6', 3 - 1, Palmer C. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Chelsea
43.4%
Draw
25.8%
Liverpool
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.5% 27.4% 33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 27.8% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Chelsea - Liverpool Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.44)
    3.73
    (3.53)
    3.14
    (2.91)
    3.8%
    (3.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Chelsea - Liverpool?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Liverpool is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 0.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Liverpool may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Chelsea could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Chelsea: Fofana D. D. (Knee Injury) Fofana W. (Hamstring Injury) Guiu M. (Muscle Injury) Kellyman O. (Hamstring Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Liverpool: Gomez J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chelsea: Nkunku C. (Knock)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:29. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chelsea won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chelsea - Liverpool were as follows:
    20.10.2024 Liverpool - Chelsea 2:1
    25.02.2024 Chelsea - Liverpool 0:1
    31.01.2024 Liverpool - Chelsea 4:1
    13.08.2023 Chelsea - Liverpool 1:1
    04.04.2023 Chelsea - Liverpool 0:0
    Latest results of Chelsea
    01.05.2025 Djurgården - Chelsea 1:4
    26.04.2025 Chelsea - Everton 1:0
    20.04.2025 Fulham - Chelsea 1:2
    17.04.2025 Chelsea - Legia Warsaw 1:2
    13.04.2025 Chelsea - Ipswich Town 2:2
    Latest results of Liverpool
    20.04.2025 Leicester City - Liverpool 0:1
    06.04.2025 Fulham - Liverpool 3:2
    02.04.2025 Liverpool - Everton 1:0
    English Premier League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Liverpool ✔ 36258383:374683
    2Arsenal361814466:333368
    3Newcastle362061068:452366
    4Chelsea37199963:432066
    5Aston Villa37199958:49966
    6Manchester City36198967:432465
    7Nottingham361881056:441262
    8Brentford361671363:531055
    9Brighton361413959:56355
    10Bournemouth3614111155:431253
    11Fulham361491351:50151
    12Crystal Palace3612131146:48-249
    13Everton369151239:44-542
    14Wolves361251951:64-1341
    15West Ham3610101642:59-1740
    16Manchester Utd371091842:54-1239
    17Tottenham371152163:61238
    18Ipswich ✔ 364102235:77-4222
    19Leicester ✔ 36572431:78-4722
    20Southampton ✔ 36262825:82-5712

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Liverpool is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Ipswich is Relegated to Championship
    Leicester is Relegated to Championship
    Southampton is Relegated to Championship
    Which TV channels are streaming of Chelsea - Liverpool?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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