Chelsea vs Gent: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League
Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League Chelsea - Gent
Result
4:2
03/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)
Chelsea - Gent - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.201.17
Ball Possession
69%31%
Goal Attempts
159
Shots on Goal
43
Shots off Goal
64
Blocked Shots
52
Free Kicks
910
Corner Kicks
104
Offsides
02
Goalkeeper Saves
10
Fouls
56
Yellow Cards
11
Total Passes
851357
Completed Passes
774302
Crosses Completed
115

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Veiga R. ⚽, Mudryk M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 46', 2 - 0, Neto P. ⚽, Disasi A. (A),
  • 50', 2 - 1, Watanabe T. ⚽, Gudjohnsen A. (A),
  • 63', 3 - 1, Nkunku C. ⚽, Veiga R. (A),
  • 64', Gudjohnsen A. ↓, Dean M. ↑,
  • 64', Fadiga N. ↓, Araujo T. ↑,
  • 70', 4 - 1, Dewsbury-Hall K. ⚽,
  • 72', Disasi A. 🟨,
  • 78', Surdez F. ↓, Kums S. ↑,
  • 78', Delorge-Knieper M. ↓, Gandelman O. ↑,
  • 80', Nkunku C. ↓, Guiu M. ↑,
  • 80', Neto P. ↓, George T. ↑,
  • 89', Gambor H. ↓, Samoise M. ↑,
  • 90', 4 - 2, Gandelman O. ⚽, Dean M. (A),
  • 90+5', Brown A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Chelsea
77.9%		Draw
13.9%		Gent
8.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.3% 18.2% 12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1% 17.4% 13.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chelsea's performance.
  • Gent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chelsea that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
    •

    Chelsea - Gent Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.22 ↓
    (1.35)    		 6.84 ↑
    (5.15)    		 11.37 ↑
    (7.47)    		 5.6%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Chelsea - Gent?
  • Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 34 - 91.9%). Gent will win (votes: 2 - 5.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 83.1% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Chelsea in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Gent is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Chelsea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Chelsea is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Chelsea: James R. (Muscle Injury) Kellyman O. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Gent: Kums S. (Calf Injury) Omgba A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gent: Hjulsager A. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Chelsea
    28.09.2024 Chelsea - Brighton & Hove Albion 4:2 ✺
    24.09.2024 Chelsea - Barrow 5:0 ✺
    21.09.2024 West Ham United - Chelsea 0:3 ✺
    14.09.2024 Bournemouth - Chelsea 0:1 ✺
    01.09.2024 Chelsea - Crystal Palace 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Gent
    29.09.2024 Gent - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3:0 ✺
    26.09.2024 Cercle Brugge - Gent 2:1 ✺
    22.09.2024 Club Brugge - Gent 2:4 ✺
    15.09.2024 Gent - KV Mechelen 2:0 ✺
    01.09.2024 Gent - Royal Antwerp 1:1 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1Dundee UtdBye
    2ByeUNA Strassen
    3LarneAuda0 : 0
    6UrartuNeman1 : 2
    7VaduzBye
    8ByeDungannon
    9SilkeborgBye
    10ByeKA Akureyri
    11RosenborgBye
    12ByeBanga
    13Atletic EscaldesDudelange2 : 0
    14ByeDinamo Tirana
    15Austria ViennaBye
    16ByeSpaeri
    17FC BallkaniBye
    18FlorianaHaverfordwest2 : 1
    19VikingBye
    20ZeljeznicarKoper1 : 1
    21AEK Athens FCBye
    23Tre FioriPyunik Yerevan1 : 0
    24ByeGyor
    25Riga FCBye
    26Racing LuxembourgDila Gori1 : 2
    27RakowBye
    28ByeZilina
    29BirkirkaraPetrocub1 : 0
    31Ararat-ArmeniaBye
    32ByeU. Cluj
    33VarazdinBye
    34ByeSanta Clara
    35Kauno ZalgirisPenybont3 : 0
    36ValurFlora3 : 0
    38ByeMaribor
    39VllazniaBFC Daugavpils0 : 1
    40MalishevaVikingur Reykjavik0 : 1
    41HammarbyBye
    42ByeCharleroi
    43Radnicki 1923Bye
    44SJKKlaksvik1 : 2
    45Novi PazarBye
    46ByeJagiellonia
    47Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    48Borac Banja LukaFC Santa Coloma1 : 4
    49La FioritaVardar0 : 3
    50ByeLausanne
    51HB TorshavnBye
    52ByeBrondby
    53OleksandriyaBye
    55HiberniansBye
    57St. PatricksHegelmann1 : 0
    58KaljuPartizani1 : 1
    59AIKBye
    60MagpiesPaide2 : 3
    61FK SarajevoBye
    62ByeUniv. Craiova
    63ArisBye
    64ByePuskas Academy
    65St JosephsCliftonville2 : 2
    66ByeShamrock Rovers
    68ByeAZ Alkmaar
    69ZiraBye
    70ByeHajduk Split
    71ArdaBye
    72NSI RunavikHJK4 : 0
    74ByeSparta Prague
    75Zimbru ChisinauBye
    76ByeFC Astana
    77DecicSileks2 : 0
    78ByeSK Rapid
    79ZhodinoRabotnicki3 : 0
    80ByeMaccabi Haifa
    81ArazBye
    82ByeAris
    83OmoniaBye
    84Torpedo KutaisiOrdabasy4 : 3
    85Cherno MoreBye
    86ByeBasaksehir
    87SutjeskaDynamo Brest1 : 2
    88ByeBeitar Jerusalem

    Quarter-finals
    1Dundee UtdUNA Strassen
    2TBD #3Bye
    3ByeTBD #6
    4VaduzDungannon
    5SilkeborgKA Akureyri
    6RosenborgBanga
    7TBD #13Dinamo Tirana
    8Austria ViennaSpaeri
    9FC BallkaniTBD #18
    10VikingTBD #20
    11AEK Athens FCBye
    12TBD #23Gyor
    13Riga FCTBD #26
    14RakowZilina
    15TBD #29Bye
    16Ararat-ArmeniaU. Cluj
    17VarazdinSanta Clara
    18TBD #35TBD #36
    19ByeMaribor
    20TBD #39TBD #40
    21HammarbyCharleroi
    22Radnicki 1923TBD #44
    23Novi PazarJagiellonia
    24Polissya ZhytomyrTBD #48
    25TBD #49Lausanne
    26HB TorshavnBrondby
    27OleksandriyaBye
    28HiberniansBye
    29TBD #57TBD #58
    30AIKTBD #60
    31FK SarajevoUniv. Craiova
    32ArisPuskas Academy
    33TBD #65Shamrock Rovers
    34ByeAZ Alkmaar
    35ZiraHajduk Split
    36ArdaTBD #72
    37ByeSparta Prague
    38Zimbru ChisinauFC Astana
    39TBD #77SK Rapid
    40TBD #79Maccabi Haifa
    41ArazAris
    42OmoniaTBD #84
    43Cherno MoreBasaksehir
    44TBD #87Beitar Jerusalem
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