Toronto FC II vs Chattanooga: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Toronto FC II - Chattanooga
Result
1:2
09/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II - Chattanooga - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.63
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
90% (535/597)83% (301/361)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.620.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.571.31
Total shots
137
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2015
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
17
Free Kicks
1418
Passes
90% (535/597)83% (301/361)
Long passes
55% (26/47)66% (44/67)
Passes in final third
80% (135/169)72% (64/89)
Crosses
14% (3/22)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.73
Throw-ins
1521
Fouls
1814
Tackles
52% (11/21)77% (10/13)
Duels won
5136
Clearances
1227
Interceptions
213
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.310.57
Goals prevented
-0.69-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Plougmand P. , Robertson T. (A),
  • 35', Chisholm M. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 2, Kwak Min-Jae , Plougmand P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Fortier T. , McDonald P. ,
  • 46', Nugent J. , Nolan J. ,
  • 46', Bossenberry A. , Ayari H. ,
  • 63', Kwak Min-Jae , Ancelin K. ,
  • 65', Edwards N. , Iliadis C. ,
  • 65', Chukwu R. , Henry M. ,
  • 79', Watson C. 🟨,
  • 79', Brown L. , Garvanian M. ,
  • 82', Barrow D. 🟨,
  • 87', Plougmand P. , Naglestad M. ,
  • 87', Mangarov D. , Thomas C. ,
  • 88', 1 - 2, Nolan J. , McDonald P. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Toronto FC II
27.8%
Draw
24.2%
Chattanooga
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 24.7% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 24.3% 38.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto FC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto FC II's form might have worsened.
  • Chattanooga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chattanooga's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto FC II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chattanooga than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chattanooga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Toronto FC II - Chattanooga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.39
    (2.48)
    3.9
    (3.73)
    1.96
    (2.4)
    6.1%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.4:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:7. (average 1.5:3.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC II - Chattanooga were as follows:
    29.09.2024 Toronto FC II - Chattanooga 1:5
    03.08.2024 Chattanooga - Toronto FC II 2:1
    Latest results of Toronto FC II
    Latest results of Chattanooga
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 213911233:2230
    2Philadelphia Union II10522122:721
    3New York City II15522628:3121
    4New England Revolution II12440417:1520
    5Chicago Fire II12512423:2219
    6Toronto FC II13503514:1718
    7Cincinnati 212230710:1812
    8Columbus Crew 211212611:2110


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga14821324:2029
    2Huntsville12531324:1322
    3Orlando City B13610619:2420
    4Carolina Core12324318:1617
    5Crown Legacy12322517:2115
    6Inter Miami II14402822:3114
    7Atlanta United 213224519:2314


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County14910428:2129
    2Real Monarchs11423221:1719
    3Town FC10511322:1018
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 213430627:2418
    5Tacoma Defiance12510627:2617
    6Los Angeles FC II12411619:2415
    7Portland Timbers 213411721:3015


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 213810425:2026
    2Colorado Rapids 214702524:2223
    3Houston Dynamo 214531521:2022
    4North Texas13611521:2521
    5Minnesota 211502420:1517
    6Austin FC II12323411:1416
    7Sporting Kansas City II1201389:285


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 213911233:2230
    2Chattanooga14821324:2029
    3Huntsville12531324:1322
    4Philadelphia Union II10522122:721
    5New York City II15522628:3121
    6Orlando City B13610619:2420
    7New England Revolution II12440417:1520
    8Chicago Fire II12512423:2219
    9Toronto FC II13503514:1718
    10Carolina Core12324318:1617
    11Crown Legacy12322517:2115
    12Inter Miami II14402822:3114
    13Atlanta United 213224519:2314
    14Cincinnati 212230710:1812
    15Columbus Crew 211212611:2110


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County14910428:2129
    2St. Louis City 213810425:2026
    3Colorado Rapids 214702524:2223
    4Houston Dynamo 214531521:2022
    5North Texas13611521:2521
    6Real Monarchs11423221:1719
    7Town FC10511322:1018
    8Vancouver Whitecaps 213430627:2418
    9Minnesota 211502420:1517
    10Tacoma Defiance12510627:2617
    11Austin FC II12323411:1416
    12Los Angeles FC II12411619:2415
    13Portland Timbers 213411721:3015
    14Sporting Kansas City II1201389:285

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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