Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Greenville Triumph: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

04/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

CHI Memorial Stadium (East Ridge, TN).

: USL League One

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.24	1.16
Ball Possession
37%	63%
Total shots
15	15
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
6	6
Passes
73% (187/255)	86% (396/461)
Yellow Cards
5	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24	1.16
xG on target (xGOT)
0.09	0.24
Total shots
15	15
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
8	5
Blocked Shots
5	7
Shots inside the Box
8	9
Shots outside the Box
7	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
6	6
Touches in opposition box
24	26
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
9	18
Passes
73% (187/255)	86% (396/461)
Long passes
48% (26/54)	47% (23/49)
Passes in final third
63% (59/93)	72% (98/136)
Crosses
13% (3/24)	41% (11/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.81	1.19
Throw-ins
22	22
Fouls
18	9
Tackles
71% (5/7)	79% (11/14)
Duels won
45	57
Clearances
44	36
Interceptions
6	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
0.24	0.09
Goals prevented
0.24	0.09

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Hernandez O. 🟨,
22', Gomez O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Marsh C. 🟨,
49', Kinzner E. 🟨,
53', Corvino P. 🟨,
61', Ualefi ↓, Wessels W. ↑,
65', Watters D. 🟨,
67', Corvino P. ↓, Agyaakwah I. ↑,
71', Bentley M. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
71', Hernandez O. ↓, Vazquez Z. ↑,
71', Ayimbila J. 🟨,
78', Marsh C. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
78', Mensah R. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
81', Hernandez P. ↓, Mercer G. ↑,
86', Patti A. ↓, Polak T. ↑,
86', Lee E. ↓, Soto E. ↑,

Chances of winning

Chattanooga Red Wolves
33.3%

Draw
29.9%

Greenville Triumph
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

28.1%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

27.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chattanooga Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Greenville Triumph has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.81)	3.06 ↓ (3.22)	2.49 ↑ (2.29)	9.2% (10.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

Chattanooga is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Chattanooga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 1.1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Chattanooga won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Chattanooga Red Wolves won against Greenville Triumph?

Chattanooga Red Wolves has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Greenville Triumph won against Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Greenville Triumph has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph were as follows:

21.06.2025 Greenville Triumph - Chattanooga Red Wolves 3:1

19.04.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph 1:0

14.09.2024 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph 2:5

02.06.2024 Greenville Triumph - Chattanooga Red Wolves 1:3

07.10.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph 2:2

Latest results of Chattanooga Red Wolves

01.10.2025 One Knoxville - Chattanooga Red Wolves 2:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Union Omaha 0:3 ✺

21.09.2025 Spokane Velocity - Chattanooga Red Wolves 1:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Portland Hearts of Pine - Chattanooga Red Wolves 1:1 ✺

06.09.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Charlotte Independence 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Greenville Triumph

27.09.2025 Spokane Velocity - Greenville Triumph 0:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Greenville Triumph - Forward Madison 3:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Greenville Triumph - South Georgia Tormenta 1:2 ✺

10.09.2025 Hartford Athletic - Greenville Triumph 3:1 ✺

06.09.2025 Naples - Greenville Triumph 2:1 ✺

USL League One Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	One Knoxville ✔	28	14	9	5	40:25	15	51
2	Chattanooga Red Wolves ✔	28	13	10	5	38:28	10	49
3	Spokane Velocity ✔	27	13	8	6	37:27	10	47
4	FC Naples ✔	28	12	8	8	38:31	7	44
5	Union Omaha ✔	28	12	6	10	45:37	8	42
6	Portland Hearts of Pine	27	10	10	7	38:33	5	40
7	Tormenta	28	11	6	11	48:46	2	39
8	Charlotte Independ	28	10	7	11	44:46	-2	37
9	Forward Madison	28	8	11	9	30:34	-4	35
10	Greenville	28	8	8	12	37:38	-1	32
11	AV Alta	28	7	11	10	38:45	-7	32
12	Texoma	28	7	9	12	34:50	-16	30
13	Richmond Kickers	28	7	5	16	38:50	-12	26
14	Westchester SC	28	5	8	15	40:55	-15	23

Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

One Knoxville is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
Chattanooga Red Wolves is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
Spokane Velocity is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
FC Naples is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
Union Omaha is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )

Which TV channels are streaming of Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+