Dunkerque vs Châteauroux: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French National League Dunkerque - Châteauroux
Result
1:0
03/03/2023 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 23
Dunkerque - Châteauroux - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Dunkerque
31.2%
Draw
32.1%
Châteauroux
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 30% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 30.8% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dunkerque's form might have worsened.
  • Châteauroux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Châteauroux's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dunkerque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Châteauroux, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Dunkerque - Châteauroux Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.93
    (2.15)
    2.85
    (3)
    2.49
    (3.2)
    9.4%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Dunkerque - Châteauroux?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Châteauroux will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6%90.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Dunkerque won 3.
    • Dunkerque is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Châteauroux is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Dunkerque won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Dunkerque won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dunkerque - Châteauroux were as follows:
    26.09.2022 Châteauroux - Dunkerque 1:0
    Latest results of Dunkerque
    24.02.2023 Cholet - Dunkerque 0:0
    17.02.2023 Dunkerque - Versailles 1:2
    10.02.2023 Bastia-Borgo - Dunkerque 2:1
    03.02.2023 Dunkerque - Nancy 2:3
    Latest results of Châteauroux
    24.02.2023 Châteauroux - Orleans 1:1
    10.02.2023 Châteauroux - Le Puy 4:1
    03.02.2023 Martigues - Châteauroux 1:0
    27.01.2023 Châteauroux - Avranches 1:0
    Draw
    Promotion

    Final
    1ClermontBoulogne1 : 2, 3 : 1
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