Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL League One Portland Hearts of Pine - Charlotte Independence
Result
4:2
30/08/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine - Charlotte Independence - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.312.16
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
76% (277/363)79% (348/439)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.312.16
xG on target (xGOT)
1.881.26
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
1923
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
612
Passes
76% (277/363)79% (348/439)
Long passes
44% (26/59)52% (41/79)
Passes in final third
61% (67/110)64% (70/109)
Crosses
11% (1/9)32% (7/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.761.64
Throw-ins
2031
Fouls
137
Tackles
77% (20/26)71% (10/14)
Duels won
5349
Clearances
3120
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.261.88
Goals prevented
-0.74-2.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Wada M. , Wright O. (A),
  • 36', 1 - 1, Spielman N. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 54', Ciss O. 🟨,
  • 63', Varela W. , Kamara J. ,
  • 66', Marou S. , Chaney C. ,
  • 69', 2 - 1, Vinberg S. , Kamara J. (A),
  • 74', Moshobane T. , Moreno J. ,
  • 74', Bakero J. , Jauregui R. ,
  • 75', Ciss O. , Jaime C. ,
  • 78', 3 - 1, Kamara J. , Wright O. (A),
  • 81', Lopez M. 🟨,
  • 83', Poon-Angeron M. 🟨,
  • 83', Poon-Angeron M. , Langlois P. ,
  • 84', Kvifte N. H. , Southern E. ,
  • 86', Sorenson A. , Ousmanou P. ,
  • 87', 4 - 1, Wright O. , Southern E. (A),
  • 88', Wright O. , Reilly M. ,
  • 88', Wada M. , James N. ,
  • 90+5', 4 - 2, Moreno J. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Portland Hearts of Pine
41.9%
Draw
26.8%
Charlotte Independence
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 26.6% 34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 26.6% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Hearts of Pine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Portland Hearts of Pine - Charlotte Independence Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.39)
    3.44
    (3.5)
    2.95
    (2.7)
    8.6%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Charlotte Ind may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hearts of Pine won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Hearts of Pine - Charlotte Independence were as follows:
    19.07.2025 Charlotte Independence - Portland Hearts of Pine 1:1
    Latest results of Charlotte Independence
    USL League One Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chattanooga Red Wolves22128234:191544
    2Spokane Velocity21125429:181141
    3One Knoxville22108429:191038
    4FC Naples23108532:26638
    5Charlotte Independ2387838:39-131
    6AV Alta23710634:32231
    7Portland Hearts of Pine2079428:23530
    8Union Omaha21831033:31227
    9Tormenta23751135:41-626
    10Texoma23671028:43-1525
    11Greenville23661132:36-424
    12Richmond Kickers22651130:35-523
    13Forward Madison23411823:29-623
    14Westchester SC23381234:48-1417

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