Charlotte Independence vs Naples: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL League One Charlotte Independence - Naples
Result
0:1
12/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL League One
Charlotte Independence - Naples - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.891.59
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
91% (506/558)85% (327/384)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.891.59
xG on target (xGOT)
0.271.08
Total shots
188
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
112
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
3619
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
91% (506/558)85% (327/384)
Long passes
76% (41/54)50% (24/48)
Passes in final third
86% (204/236)69% (50/72)
Crosses
17% (6/35)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.641.41
Throw-ins
2012
Fouls
1213
Tackles
80% (12/15)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4539
Clearances
1342
Interceptions
24
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.080.27
Goals prevented
0.080.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Jauregui R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 74', 0 - 1, Onen J. (Pen),
  • 75', Jauregui R. , Moreno J. ,
  • 75', Bakero J. , Chaney C. ,
  • 75', Sulia R. , Fernandes G. ,
  • 84', Marou S. , Ngah F. ,
  • 84', Moshobane T. , Jaime C. ,
  • 84', Ferrin A. , Bachstein D. ,
  • 85', Onen J. 🟨,
  • 89', Sorenson A. , Mbuyu T. ,
  • 89', Onen J. , Cerro I. ,
  • 90+4', Cerro I. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Delgado E. 🟨,
  • 90+7', O'Connor K. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Charlotte Independence
42.8%
Draw
26.4%
Naples
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.2% 25.6% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1% 26.6% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Charlotte Independence's form might have worsened.
  • Naples has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Charlotte Independence, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naples than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naples, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Charlotte Independence - Naples Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (1.88)
    3.5
    (3.53)
    3.01
    (3.45)
    8.2%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Charlotte Ind has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Naples is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Charlotte Ind will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Naples
    30.08.2025 Naples - Westchester SC 2:2
    27.08.2025 One Knoxville - Naples 0:0
    16.08.2025 Forward Madison - Naples 0:0
    09.08.2025 Naples - Texoma 2:1
    USL League One Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1One Knoxville ✔ 28149540:251551
    2Chattanooga Red Wolves ✔ 271310437:261149
    3Spokane Velocity ✔ 26137636:261046
    4FC Naples ✔ 27128738:29944
    5Union Omaha ✔ 271251045:37841
    6Portland Hearts of Pine271010738:33540
    7Tormenta271151147:45238
    8Charlotte Independ281071144:46-237
    9Forward Madison27711928:33-532
    10AV Alta287111038:45-732
    11Greenville27871237:38-131
    12Texoma27691233:50-1727
    13Richmond Kickers27751538:49-1126
    14Westchester SC27481538:55-1720

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    One Knoxville is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
    Chattanooga Red Wolves is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
    Spokane Velocity is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
    FC Naples is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
    Union Omaha is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Charlotte Independence - Naples?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
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