Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Charlotte Independence: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

06/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

CHI Memorial Stadium (East Ridge, TN).

: USL League One

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.05	0.73
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
14	6
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
8	3
Passes
77% (266/346)	80% (351/437)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05	0.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.65	0.06
Total shots
14	6
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
8	2
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
11	4
Shots outside the Box
3	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
8	3
Touches in opposition box
34	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
13	10
Passes
77% (266/346)	80% (351/437)
Long passes
66% (44/67)	45% (29/64)
Passes in final third
68% (97/143)	61% (59/97)
Crosses
36% (12/33)	30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.80	0.68
Throw-ins
20	15
Fouls
10	14
Tackles
64% (7/11)	81% (13/16)
Duels won
58	54
Clearances
15	34
Interceptions
5	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.06	0.65
Goals prevented
0.06	0.65

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Gomez O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ayimbila J. 🟨,
54', Ndiaye B. 🟨,
63', Ayimbila J. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
64', Hernandez O. ↓, Lombardi A. ↑,
68', Bakero J. ↓, Marou S. ↑,
68', Jauregui R. ↓, Moshobane T. ↑,
71', Mercer G. ↓, Bentley M. ↑,
72', Wessels W. ↓, Acosta M. ↑,
80', Ndiaye B. ↓, Alcocer P. ↑,
80', Jaime C. ↓, Ngah F. ↑,
85', Lelin Y. ↓, Vazquez Z. ↑,
90', 1 - 0, Alcocer P. (Own goal),

Chances of winning

Chattanooga Red Wolves
41.3%

Draw
27.9%

Charlotte Independence
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

25.8%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

21.9%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chattanooga Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chattanooga Red Wolves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Chattanooga Red Wolves - Charlotte Independence Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.09)	3.31 (3.31)	3 ↑ (2.57)	8.1% (17%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 0.
Chattanooga is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Charlotte Ind has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Chattanooga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Chattanooga won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.8:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Chattanooga won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 3:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Chattanooga Red Wolves won against Charlotte Independence?

Chattanooga Red Wolves has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Charlotte Independence won against Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Charlotte Independence has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Chattanooga Red Wolves - Charlotte Independence were as follows:

28.03.2025 Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves 0:0

16.07.2024 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Charlotte Independence 0:2

14.06.2024 Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves 4:2

09.09.2023 Charlotte Independence - Chattanooga Red Wolves 2:0

24.06.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Charlotte Independence 2:2

Latest results of Chattanooga Red Wolves

30.08.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves - AV Alta 0:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves - South Georgia Tormenta 2:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Texoma - Chattanooga Red Wolves 0:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Union Omaha - Chattanooga Red Wolves 2:2 ✺

06.08.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves - Forward Madison 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Charlotte Independence

30.08.2025 Portland Hearts of Pine - Charlotte Independence 4:2 ✺

20.08.2025 Union Omaha - Charlotte Independence 4:1 ✺

15.08.2025 Charlotte Independence - Westchester SC 1:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph 4:5 ✺

02.08.2025 Charlotte Independence - Texoma 3:3 ✺

USL League One Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chattanooga Red Wolves ✔	24	13	9	2	37:21	16	48
2	One Knoxville	25	12	9	4	34:22	12	45
3	Spokane Velocity	24	12	7	5	35:25	10	43
4	FC Naples	25	11	8	6	33:27	6	41
5	Portland Hearts of Pine	23	9	10	4	35:26	9	37
6	Charlotte Independ	26	9	7	10	41:43	-2	34
7	Union Omaha	24	9	5	10	39:36	3	32
8	Tormenta	25	9	5	11	40:42	-2	32
9	AV Alta	25	7	10	8	35:37	-2	31
10	Greenville	25	7	6	12	36:38	-2	27
11	Texoma	25	6	8	11	32:48	-16	26
12	Forward Madison	25	5	11	9	24:32	-8	26
13	Richmond Kickers	25	6	5	14	34:44	-10	23
14	Westchester SC	25	4	8	13	37:51	-14	20

Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Chattanooga Red Wolves is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )

Which TV channels are streaming of Chattanooga Red Wolves - Charlotte Independence?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+