Result
4:3
09/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 8
- Referee: Laforge N. (Bel)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.64 | 1.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (353/436) | 81% (284/349) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.64 | 1.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.40 | 2.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (353/436) | 81% (284/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (27/56) | 48% (26/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (102/152) | 63% (62/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.78 | 3.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.22 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 10', 1 - 0, Stulic N. ⚽, Bernier A. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Sakamoto I. ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 2, Sakamoto I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 3, Frigan M. ⚽, Devine A. (A),
- 56', Van den Keybus T. 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 3, Stulic N. ⚽, Andreou S. (A),
- 63', Haspolat D. 🟨,
- 63', Van den Keybus T. ↓, Sayyadmanesh A. ↑,
- 66', Nzita M. 🟨,
- 69', Frigan M. 🟨,
- 71', 3 - 3, Heymans D. (Pen),
- 74', Sayyadmanesh A. 🟨,
- 78', Sakamoto I. ↓, Slimani I. ↑,
- 78', Reynolds B. ↓, Alcocer J. ↑,
- 80', Rommens T. 🟨,
- 81', Bernier A. ↓, Rogelj Z. ↑,
- 84', 4 - 3, Keita C. ⚽, Zorgane A. (A),
- 88', Heymans D. 🟨,
- 90', Petris J. ↓, Denuit R. ↑,
- 90+2', Nzita M. ↓, Dragsnes V. ↑,
- 90+2', Zorgane A. ↓, Camara E. ↑,
- 90+7', Haspolat D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Charleroi
57.7% | Draw
21.7% | Westerlo
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Charleroi's performance.Westerlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Westerlo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charleroi that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Westerlo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Charleroi - Westerlo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(2.01) |
4.38 ↑
(3.76) |
4.59 ↑
(3.45) |
4.6%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Charleroi - Westerlo?
The most likely score is 2:1.
User prediction is Charleroi will win! (24 of 26 users predict this).
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 4.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- In this match, Charleroi is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Charleroi: Kyei G.
(Injury)
Ousou A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Westerlo: Bos J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Haidara B.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:18. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Charleroi won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against Westerlo?
Charleroi has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Westerlo won against Charleroi?
Westerlo has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Charleroi - Westerlo were as follows:
11.04.2025
Westerlo
-
Charleroi
2:2
22.02.2025
Westerlo
-
Charleroi
1:3
09.11.2024
Charleroi
-
Westerlo
1:0
01.03.2024
Westerlo
-
Charleroi
0:1
25.11.2023
Charleroi
-
Westerlo
3:2
Latest results of Charleroi
Latest results of Westerlo
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15:2 | 13 | 50 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 49 |
| 3 | Genk | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:9 | -1 | 41 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:8 | 2 | 36 |
| 5 | Antwerp | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 31 |
| 6 | Gent | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2:25 | -23 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Charleroi - Westerlo?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1 |
 Netherlands | Sporza |
