Standard Liège vs Charleroi: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Belgian Jupiler Pro League Standard Liège - Charleroi
Result
0:1
04/05/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 7
  • Referee: Put B. (Bel)
Standard Liège - Charleroi - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.041.68
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
77% (324/420)76% (282/369)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.041.68
xG on target (xGOT)
1.462.12
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2431
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
77% (324/420)76% (282/369)
Long passes
47% (29/62)52% (27/52)
Passes in final third
64% (79/124)73% (107/147)
Crosses
29% (6/21)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.281.26
Throw-ins
1725
Fouls
1114
Tackles
65% (13/20)70% (14/20)
Duels won
5759
Clearances
2433
Interceptions
917
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
2.121.46
Goals prevented
1.121.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Petris J. 🟨,
  • 30', Ngoy N. 🟨,
  • 40', Titraoui Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', 0 - 1, Stulic N. ,
  • 60', Lawrence H. , Amani L. ,
  • 61', Karamoko I. , Bulat M. ,
  • 66', Kuavita L. 🟨,
  • 76', Titraoui Y. , Camara E. ,
  • 76', Bernier A. , Rogelj Z. ,
  • 77', Dierckx D. 🟨,
  • 86', Nzita M. , Dragsnes V. ,
  • 86', Guiagon P. , Mbenza I. ,
  • 87', Hountondji A. , Mitongo Muteba R. ,
  • 87', Heymans D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Standard Liège
27.4%
Draw
28.8%
Charleroi
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.3% 29.2% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 29.5% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Standard Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Standard Liège - Charleroi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.43
    (3.02)
    3.28
    (3.23)
    2.19
    (2.39)
    5.2%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Standard Liège - Charleroi?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Standard will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Charleroi will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Charleroi: 50.9%95.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Charleroi will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Standard won 1.
    • Standard is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Charleroi is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Charleroi might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Standard: Bazunu G. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Charleroi: Ousou A. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Standard: Szalai At. (Knock) Zeqiri A. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Standard won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 0.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Standard won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Standard Liège - Charleroi were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Charleroi - Standard Liège 1:0
    30.11.2024 Charleroi - Standard Liège 1:1
    20.10.2024 Standard Liège - Charleroi 2:1
    16.12.2023 Standard Liège - Charleroi 0:0
    13.08.2023 Charleroi - Standard Liège 1:1
    Latest results of Standard Liège
    Latest results of Charleroi
    26.04.2025 Charleroi - Dender EH 4:1
    22.04.2025 Dender EH - Charleroi 2:1
    19.04.2025 Charleroi - KV Mechelen 3:0
    11.04.2025 Westerlo - Charleroi 2:2
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Antwerp00000:000
    2Leuven00000:000
    3Anderlecht00000:000
    4Cercle Brugge KSV00000:000
    5Charleroi00000:000
    6Club Brugge KV00000:000
    7Dender00000:000
    8Genk00000:000
    9Gent00000:000
    10KV Mechelen00000:000
    11St. Liege00000:000
    12St. Truiden00000:000
    13Waregem00000:000
    14Westerlo00000:000
    15Royale Union SG00000:000
    16RAAL La Louviere00000:000

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    Which TV channels are streaming of Standard Liège - Charleroi?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
    netherlandsNetherlandsSporza
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