Charleroi vs Gent: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Belgian Jupiler Pro League Charleroi - Gent
Result
2:3
14/02/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Jupiler Pro League - Round 25
  • Referee: Lambrechts E. (Bel)
Charleroi - Gent - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.572.76
Ball possession
63%37%
Total shots
2511
Shots on target
77
Big chances
25
Corner kicks
124
Passes
83% (424/509)75% (234/311)
Yellow cards
03
Expected goals (xG)
1.572.76
xG on target (xGOT)
2.513.59
Total shots
2511
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
93
Blocked shots
91
Shots inside the box
129
Shots outside the box
132
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
21
Big chances
25
Corner kicks
124
Touches in opposition box
5617
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free kicks
88
Passes
83% (424/509)75% (234/311)
Long passes
53% (24/45)41% (24/58)
Passes in final third
74% (153/206)65% (52/80)
Crosses
24% (10/41)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
2.181.45
Throw ins
2212
Fouls
88
Tackles
50% (4/8)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4048
Clearances
1458
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
45
xGOT faced
3.592.51
Goals prevented
0.590.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Ito A. , Kadri A. (A),
  • 37', Skoras M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Bernier A. , Blum L. ,
  • 59', 0 - 2, Dean M. , Sonko M. (A),
  • 59', Dean M. 🟨,
  • 65', Camara E. , Romsaas J. ,
  • 67', 1 - 2, Keita C. , Pflucke P. (A),
  • 68', Sonko M. , Hong Hyun-Seok ,
  • 71', 1 - 3, Dean M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 78', Pflucke P. , Szymczak F. ,
  • 78', Keita C. , Colassin A. ,
  • 80', Skoras M. , Essaouabi H. ,
  • 88', 2 - 3, Ousou A. ,
  • 89', Kadri A. , Omgba A. ,
  • 89', Dean M. , Diop M. ,
  • 89', Van Den Kerkhof K. , Cisse Y. ,
  • 90+1', Ito A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Charleroi
46.5%
Draw
27.7%
Gent
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.9% 27.7% 26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8% 27.2% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Gent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Gent aligns with the current prediction.
  • Charleroi - Gent Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.04)
    3.42
    (3.38)
    3.7
    (3.57)
    5.5%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Charleroi - Gent?
    • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Charleroi will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Gent will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Charleroi: 26.7%80.9%.
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Gent may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Charleroi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Charleroi: Blum L. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Gent: Delorge-Knieper M. (Ankle Injury) Samoise M. (Knee Injury) Van Der Heyden S. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Gent: Essaouabi H. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Charleroi won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Charleroi - Gent were as follows:
    03.10.2025 Gent - Charleroi 2:1
    17.01.2025 Gent - Charleroi 1:1
    11.08.2024 Charleroi - Gent 1:0
    17.03.2024 Gent - Charleroi 5:0
    05.11.2023 Charleroi - Gent 1:3
    Latest results of Charleroi
    Latest results of Gent
    07.02.2026 Gent - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:3
    30.01.2026 RAAL La Louvière - Gent 1:1
    23.01.2026 Standard Liège - Gent 0:4
    18.01.2026 Gent - Anderlecht 4:2
    15.01.2026 Anderlecht - Gent 1:0
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleroi44009:2712
    2Gent44007:2512
    3Royale Union SG431011:11010
    4Club Brugge KV43018:269
    5Waregem42208:358
    6St. Liege42209:638
    7Genk421112:847
    8Lommel SK42116:247
    9Antwerp421110:917
    10Anderlecht42023:5-26
    11St. Truiden41218:805
    12Beveren41032:10-83
    13Cercle Brugge KSV40225:7-22
    14KV Mechelen40225:9-42
    15RAAL La Louviere40134:8-41
    16Westerlo40135:14-91
    17Leuven40042:9-70
    18Kortrijk40041:10-90

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Challenger Pro League

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