Vila Nova vs Chapecoense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie B Vila Nova - Chapecoense
Result
1:0
25/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 5
Vila Nova - Chapecoense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.260.52
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
77% (277/361)79% (267/339)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.260.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.730.28
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
79
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
2210
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
77% (277/361)79% (267/339)
Long passes
42% (27/65)35% (19/55)
Passes in final third
65% (79/122)57% (49/86)
Crosses
33% (10/30)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.060.74
Throw-ins
2423
Fouls
1312
Tackles
83% (10/12)75% (3/4)
Duels won
5431
Clearances
2131
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
0.281.73
Goals prevented
0.280.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', 1 - 0, Labandeira F. ,
  • 67', Clar W. , Mancha ,
  • 67', Marcinho , Italo ,
  • 71', Diego Torres , Joao Vieira ,
  • 72', Labandeira F. , Vinicius Paiva ,
  • 75', Mailton , Dentinho ,
  • 76', Halls 🟨,
  • 80', Junior Todinho , Ruan Ribeiro ,
  • 80', Jean Mota , Dodo ,
  • 83', Giovanni Augusto , Thomas Bedinelli ,
  • 83', Joao Paulo , Everton ,
  • 90+1', Gabriel Poveda , Higor ,
  • 90+6', Everton 🟨,

Chances of winning


Vila Nova
49.6%
Draw
30.3%
Chapecoense
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 27% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 26.4% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Vila Nova - Chapecoense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.77)
    3.1
    (3.4)
    4.66
    (4.35)
    6.6%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Chapecoense?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 3.
    • Vila Nova is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Chapecoense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Vila Nova is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Vila Nova: Davis E. (Knee Injury) Emerson Urso (Inactive) Mauricio Kozlinski (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Chapecoense: Felipe Vieira (Injury) Marcinho (Injury) Pedro Martins (Injury) Romulo (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Vila Nova: Guilherme Parede (Knee Injury) Lucas Sena (Inactive)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.2:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Vila Nova won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Chapecoense were as follows:
    18.09.2024 Vila Nova - Chapecoense 3:2
    02.06.2024 Chapecoense - Vila Nova 1:1
    01.10.2023 Vila Nova - Chapecoense 0:0
    06.06.2023 Chapecoense - Vila Nova 0:1
    29.08.2022 Chapecoense - Vila Nova 1:2
    Latest results of Vila Nova
    20.04.2025 Vila Nova - Botafogo SP 2:0
    17.04.2025 Goiás - Vila Nova 2:2
    12.04.2025 Vila Nova - Paysandu 1:0
    05.04.2025 Coritiba - Vila Nova 1:0
    30.03.2025 Vila Nova - Anápolis 3:0
    Latest results of Chapecoense
    16.04.2025 Paysandu - Chapecoense 0:2
    12.04.2025 Chapecoense - Coritiba 1:2
    05.04.2025 CRB Maceio - Chapecoense 1:0
    22.03.2025 Avaí - Chapecoense 1:1
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias1492318:11729
    2Coritiba1483313:6727
    3Novorizontino1475218:10826
    4Avai1465319:13623
    5Remo1465317:13423
    6CRB1463514:12221
    7Cuiaba1363415:15021
    8America MG1462616:16020
    9Athletico-PR1462618:19-120
    10Chapecoense-SC1461717:14319
    11Vila Nova FC1461711:14-319
    12Atletico GO1446414:13118
    13Ferroviaria1346313:12118
    14Operario-PR1452716:17-117
    15Criciuma1444616:15116
    16Volta Redonda143567:12-514
    17Amazonas1435612:19-714
    18Botafogo SP1334611:17-613
    19Athletic Club14401013:23-1012
    20Paysandu PA132477:14-710

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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