Paysandu vs Chapecoense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie B Paysandu - Chapecoense
Result
0:2
16/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B - Round 3
  • Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
Paysandu - Chapecoense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.411.27
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
85% (382/451)78% (206/263)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.411.27
xG on target (xGOT)
0.431.98
Total shots
129
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
168
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
85% (382/451)78% (206/263)
Long passes
55% (27/49)32% (15/47)
Passes in final third
65% (79/122)62% (40/65)
Crosses
25% (7/28)0% (0/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.060.08
Fouls
1010
Tackles
63% (5/8)75% (12/16)
Duels won
3942
Clearances Total
1637
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.980.43
Goals prevented
-0.020.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 7', Joao Paulo 🟨,
  • 16', Rafael Carvalheira 🟨,
  • 18', Matheus Vargas 🟨,
  • 26', 0 - 1, Mailton , Rafael Carvalheira (A),
  • 35', 0 - 2, Joao Paulo ,
  • 40', Quintana Y. , Eliel ,
  • 45+4', Andre Lima 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Joao Paulo , Eduardo Doma ,
  • 46', Andre Lima , Dudu Vieira ,
  • 46', Rossi , Benitez J. ,
  • 65', Matheus Vargas , Borasi B. ,
  • 66', Marlon Douglas , Giovanni ,
  • 68', Eduardo Person , Jorge Jimenez ,
  • 75', Rafael Carvalheira , Marcinho ,
  • 75', Mailton , Everton ,
  • 90+1', Italo , Mailson ,

Chances of winning


Paysandu
53.7%
Draw
26.2%
Chapecoense
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 26.7% 21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 26.1% 21.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Paysandu - Chapecoense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.81)
    3.56
    (3.51)
    4.67
    (4.34)
    6.7%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Paysandu - Chapecoense?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Chapecoense will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chapecoense (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Paysandu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Paysandu have a series of home games.
    • In this match Paysandu is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Paysandu: Kevyn (Knee Injury) Nicolas (Inactive) Rossi (Inactive)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Paysandu won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 2:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Paysandu won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paysandu - Chapecoense were as follows:
    09.10.2024 Paysandu - Chapecoense 2:0
    23.06.2024 Chapecoense - Paysandu 1:2
    Latest results of Paysandu
    12.04.2025 Vila Nova - Paysandu 1:0
    09.04.2025 Paysandu - Goiás 0:0
    28.03.2025 Paysandu - Capitão Poço 2:0
    Latest results of Chapecoense
    12.04.2025 Chapecoense - Coritiba 1:2
    05.04.2025 CRB Maceio - Chapecoense 1:0
    22.03.2025 Avaí - Chapecoense 1:1
    15.03.2025 Chapecoense - Avaí 2:2
    09.03.2025 Chapecoense - Joinville 2:1
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias1182115:6926
    2Novorizontino1164114:7722
    3Cuiaba1163215:10521
    4Coritiba1162310:6420
    5Remo1155114:9520
    6Avai1154215:9619
    7CRB1153311:9218
    8Chapecoense-SC1151514:10416
    9Vila Nova FC115159:9016
    10Ferroviaria1136211:10115
    11Operario-PR1142513:14-114
    12Athletico-PR1142514:16-214
    13Atletico GO1135312:12014
    14America MG1141610:14-413
    15Criciuma1133511:10112
    16Volta Redonda112455:9-410
    17Botafogo SP1124510:16-610
    18Amazonas112457:14-710
    19Athletic Club112098:19-116
    20Paysandu PA110475:14-94

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Paysandu - Chapecoense?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    worldWorldDisney+
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