Chapecoense vs Paysandu: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie B Chapecoense - Paysandu
Result
2:0
17/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 22
  • Referee: Holanda L. (Bra)
Chapecoense - Paysandu - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.390.97
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
2021
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
710
Passes
87% (349/402)83% (288/349)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
2.390.97
xG on target (xGOT)
2.120.28
Total shots
2021
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
99
Blocked Shots
49
Shots inside the Box
1110
Shots outside the Box
911
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
710
Touches in opposition box
2315
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
711
Passes
87% (349/402)83% (288/349)
Long passes
48% (23/48)54% (26/48)
Passes in final third
72% (73/102)73% (74/101)
Crosses
24% (5/21)19% (5/27)
Expected assists (xA)
1.660.54
Throw-ins
1316
Fouls
117
Tackles
100% (6/6)79% (11/14)
Duels won
3039
Clearances
2719
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.282.12
Goals prevented
0.280.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Clar W. , Mailton (A),
  • 45+2', Bruno Leonardo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Leandro Vilela , Ronaldo Henrique ,
  • 46', Bruno Leonardo , Victor Caetano ,
  • 55', Ronaldo Henrique 🟨,
  • 56', 2 - 0, Clar W. ,
  • 58', Benitez J. , Diogo Oliveira ,
  • 58', Marlon Douglas , Delvalle P. ,
  • 67', Thiago Heleno 🟨,
  • 69', Giovanni Augusto , Italo ,
  • 69', Joao Paulo 🟨,
  • 70', Marcinho , Jorge Jimenez ,
  • 75', Luan Freitas , Edilson ,
  • 75', Denner , Marcelinho ,
  • 78', Leo Vieira 🟨,
  • 81', Leo Vieira , Rafael Santos ,
  • 88', Mailton , Gabriel Inocencio ,
  • 90+7', Victor Caetano 🟨,

Chances of winning


Chapecoense
47.8%
Draw
30.5%
Paysandu
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 28.3% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8% 27.4% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chapecoense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Chapecoense - Paysandu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.8)
    3.07
    (3.3)
    4.29
    (4.75)
    7%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Chapecoense - Paysandu?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Paysandu will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chapecoense (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • Chapecoense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Paysandu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Paysandu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Chapecoense is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Chapecoense: Eduardo Person (Inactive) Everton (Inactive) Jhonnathan (Inactive) Mancha (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Paysandu: Matheus Vargas (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Chapecoense: Bruno Leonardo (Injury) Getulio (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Paysandu: Delvalle P. (Ankle Injury) Dudu Vieira (Inactive) Edinho (Knee Injury) Rossi (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chapecoense - Paysandu were as follows:
    16.04.2025 Paysandu - Chapecoense 0:2
    09.10.2024 Paysandu - Chapecoense 2:0
    23.06.2024 Chapecoense - Paysandu 1:2
    Latest results of Chapecoense
    Latest results of Paysandu
    11.08.2025 Paysandu - Vila Nova 0:1
    28.07.2025 Paysandu - Athletic Club 1:1
    23.07.2025 Amazonas - Paysandu 1:1
    19.07.2025 Coritiba - Paysandu 2:5
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias23135529:20944
    2Coritiba23127424:15943
    3Chapecoense-SC23124734:201440
    4Criciuma23106730:21936
    5Novorizontino2399525:21436
    6Remo23811424:20435
    7Vila Nova FC22103922:20233
    8Avai2289529:21833
    9Cuiaba2295825:25032
    10CRB23941024:22231
    11Athletico-PR2386929:32-330
    12Ferroviaria2278725:24129
    13Operario-PR2276923:22127
    14Atletico GO2269722:24-227
    15Athletic Club23741224:33-925
    16America MG23641323:32-922
    17Volta Redonda22571014:24-1022
    18Botafogo SP22571015:31-1622
    19Paysandu PA2249919:25-621
    20Amazonas2249923:31-821

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Chapecoense - Paysandu?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
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