Result
1:2
04/07/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 19', 0 - 1, Bolasie Y. ⚽,
- 22', 0 - 2, Everton ⚽,
- 32', Rafael Thyere 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Luis Eduardo ↓, Marcos Rocha ↑,
- 54', 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 2, Pavon C. ⚽,
- 85', 🟨,
- 90+2', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grêmio 59% | Draw 23.2% | Chapecoense 17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grêmio's form might have worsened.Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Grêmio - Chapecoense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.55 ↑ (1.43) |
3.94 ↓ (4.27) |
5.13 ↓ (6.52) |
9.5% (8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 2.
- Grêmio is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Chapecoense has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Grêmio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Grêmio has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Grêmio is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:20. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Chapecoense?
Grêmio has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Grêmio?
Chapecoense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Chapecoense were as follows:
16.03.2026
Chapecoense
-
Grêmio
1:1
Latest results of Chapecoense
Which TV channels are streaming of Grêmio - Chapecoense?
It is being streamed on various channels, including: