Grêmio vs Chapecoense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
1:2
04/07/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Club Friendly
Grêmio - Chapecoense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Grêmio - Chapecoense live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Yellow cards
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Bolasie Y. ,
  • 22', 0 - 2, Everton ,
  • 32', Rafael Thyere 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Luis Eduardo , Marcos Rocha ,
  • 54', 🟨,
  • 55', 1 - 2, Pavon C. ,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 90+2', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Grêmio
59%
Draw
23.2%
Chapecoense
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.3% 21.5% 14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7% 20.4% 13.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grêmio's form might have worsened.
  • Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Grêmio - Chapecoense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.43)
    3.94
    (4.27)
    5.13
    (6.52)
    9.5%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 2.
    • Grêmio is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Chapecoense has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Grêmio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Grêmio has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Grêmio is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:20. (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Chapecoense were as follows:
    16.03.2026 Chapecoense - Grêmio 1:1
    Latest results of Grêmio
    27.06.2026 FC Cascavel - Grêmio 1:2
    30.05.2026 Grêmio - Corinthians 1:3
    23.05.2026 Grêmio - Santos 3:2
    20.05.2026 Grêmio - Palestino 2:0
    Latest results of Chapecoense
    07.06.2026 Chapecoense - Avaí 3:1
    03.06.2026 Avaí - Chapecoense 3:0
    31.05.2026 Palmeiras - Chapecoense 1:0
    24.05.2026 Cruzeiro - Chapecoense 2:1
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan