Chapecoense vs Ferroviária: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie B Chapecoense - Ferroviária
Result
2:1
16/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 12
  • Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)
Chapecoense - Ferroviária - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.840.71
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
717
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
77% (241/311)85% (463/542)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.840.71
xG on target (xGOT)
0.970.46
Total shots
717
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
29
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
1116
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
817
Passes
77% (241/311)85% (463/542)
Long passes
48% (31/64)49% (25/51)
Passes in final third
59% (41/70)72% (89/123)
Crosses
21% (3/14)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.63
Throw-ins
2321
Fouls
178
Tackles
36% (5/14)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4249
Clearances
2316
Interceptions
1411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
0.460.97
Goals prevented
-0.54-1.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Marcinho , Mailton (A),
  • 42', Victor Caetano 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 2 - 0, Marcinho ,
  • 61', Thiago Lopes , Juninho ,
  • 61', Ricardinho , Alencar ,
  • 65', Neto Pessoa , Mailson ,
  • 65', Victor Caetano , Jhonnathan ,
  • 73', Edson Lucas , Kevin ,
  • 73', Thayllon , Ronaldo ,
  • 74', Eduardo Doma , Everton ,
  • 74', Giovanni Augusto , Italo ,
  • 77', Ronaldo Alves 🟨,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Juninho ,
  • 84', Marcinho , Marlon ,
  • 85', Netinho , Ian Luccas ,
  • 90+4', Italo 🟨,

Chances of winning


Chapecoense
43.1%
Draw
32.7%
Ferroviária
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 30% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 29.1% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Chapecoense - Ferroviária Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2)
    2.85
    (3.07)
    3.84
    (3.83)
    7.3%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Chapecoense - Ferroviária?
  • Users Predictions: Chapecoense will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chapecoense will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 13).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Chapecoense could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Chapecoense: Getulio (Injury) Joao Paulo (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Ferroviária: Caua A. (Inactive) Denilson (Inactive) Eric Melo (Yellow Cards) Quirino (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Chapecoense: Eduardo Person (Inactive)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Chapecoense
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba20115422:14838
    2Goias19114424:15937
    3Novorizontino1997323:16734
    4Chapecoense-SC1993725:18730
    5Remo1979322:17530
    6Criciuma1985623:17629
    7Cuiaba1984722:22028
    8Avai1977526:20628
    9Vila Nova FC2083919:20-127
    10CRB1974820:18225
    11Athletico-PR1974824:26-225
    12Athletic Club19721022:26-423
    13Operario-PR1965821:20123
    14Atletico GO1958618:20-223
    15America MG19631020:26-621
    16Volta Redonda1956814:21-721
    17Paysandu PA1948718:21-320
    18Ferroviaria1948718:22-420
    19Amazonas1947818:25-719
    20Botafogo SP1946912:27-1518

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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