Chapecoense vs Cuiabá: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie B Chapecoense - Cuiabá
Result
2:1
16/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B Superbet - Round 8
  • Referee: Casagrande L. (Bra)
Chapecoense - Cuiabá - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.470.82
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
816
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
72% (216/300)83% (428/514)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.470.82
xG on target (xGOT)
1.200.72
Total shots
816
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
18
Blocked Shots
37
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
311
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1521
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
119
Passes
72% (216/300)83% (428/514)
Long passes
23% (14/61)44% (28/64)
Passes in final third
44% (30/68)64% (89/139)
Crosses
21% (3/14)25% (8/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.671.06
Throw-ins
1830
Fouls
911
Tackles
72% (13/18)89% (8/9)
Duels won
5141
Clearances
389
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.721.20
Goals prevented
-0.28-0.80

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Mailton ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Pedrinho , Edu ,
  • 59', Derik Lacerda , Jadson ,
  • 60', Lucas Mineiro , De Lucca ,
  • 60', Getulio , Dentinho ,
  • 65', Bruno Matias 🟨,
  • 68', 1 - 1, De Lucca , Matheusinho (A),
  • 71', Marcinho , Italo ,
  • 72', Giovanni Augusto , Mailson ,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Italo ,
  • 83', Max Alves , Lucas Cardoso ,
  • 86', Clar W. , Mancha ,
  • 86', Rafael Carvalheira , Jorge Jimenez ,
  • 90+4', Nathan , Guilherme Mariano ,

Chances of winning


Chapecoense
33.6%
Draw
32.6%
Cuiabá
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 28.8% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 27.8% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chapecoense's form might have worsened.
  • Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chapecoense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Chapecoense - Cuiabá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.78
    (2.28)
    2.87
    (3.2)
    2.77
    (3)
    7%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Chapecoense - Cuiabá?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Cuiabá will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 2.
    • Chapecoense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cuiabá has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Chapecoense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Chapecoense: Eduardo Person (Inactive) Felipe Vieira (Injury) Romulo (Injury)
    • There will not play in Cuiabá: Asad Y. (Inactive) Denilson Alves (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    Latest results of Chapecoense
    Latest results of Cuiabá
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba20115422:14838
    2Goias19114424:15937
    3Novorizontino1997323:16734
    4Chapecoense-SC1993725:18730
    5Remo2079422:19330
    6Criciuma2085723:18529
    7Cuiaba1984722:22028
    8Avai1977526:20628
    9Vila Nova FC2083919:20-127
    10Operario-PR2075822:20226
    11CRB1974820:18225
    12Athletico-PR1974824:26-225
    13Athletic Club19721022:26-423
    14Ferroviaria2058720:22-223
    15Atletico GO1958618:20-223
    16America MG19631020:26-621
    17Volta Redonda1956814:21-721
    18Paysandu PA1948718:21-320
    19Amazonas1947818:25-719
    20Botafogo SP1946912:27-1518

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

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