Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen Peng City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

24/08/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Development Area Stadium (Changchun).

: Super League - Round 22
Referee: Zhang Lei (Chn)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.49	0.70
Ball Possession
38%	62%
Total shots
7	12
Shots on target
1	4
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
2	3
Passes
65% (168/259)	79% (343/433)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49	0.70
xG on target (xGOT)
0.12	0.29
Total shots
7	12
Shots on target
1	4
Shots off target
3	5
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
4	8
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
2	3
Touches in opposition box
9	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
18	17
Passes
65% (168/259)	79% (343/433)
Long passes
25% (17/67)	50% (30/60)
Passes in final third
44% (37/84)	58% (80/138)
Crosses
27% (4/15)	29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.29	0.69
Throw-ins
29	34
Fouls
19	19
Tackles
53% (10/19)	53% (10/19)
Duels won
58	71
Clearances
36	30
Interceptions
6	6
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	0
xGOT faced
0.29	0.12
Goals prevented
0.29	-0.88

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Zhang Wei 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Omoijuanfo O. ⚽, Salazar J. (A),
53', Li Shenyuan 🟨,
71', Liao Lisheng ↓, Zhang Xiaobin ↑,
78', Jiang Zhipeng ↓, Orr M. ↑,
83', Kartsev E. 🟨,
87', Salazar J. ↓, Asqer A. ↑,
90', Yu Rui ↓, Li Zhi ↑,
90+4', Xu Haofeng ↓, Sunzu S. ↑,
90+5', Omoijuanfo O. 🟨,
90+8', Abduweli Behram 🟨,
90+9', Piao Taoyu ↓, Wang Yu ↑,
90+9', Zhao Yingjie ↓, Zhang Huachen ↑,
90+16', Abdugheni Abduhamit 🟨,
90+17', Tan Long ↓, Tian Yuda ↑,

Chances of winning

Changchun Yatai
34.9%

Draw
27.8%

Shenzhen Peng City
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

28%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

26.2%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Changchun Yatai's form might have worsened.

Shenzhen Peng City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shenzhen Peng City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shenzhen Peng City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Peng City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.23)	3.37 ↑ (3.34)	2.57 ↓ (3.11)	6.2% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Peng City?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Changchun Yatai: 45% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 1.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Changchun Yatai might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Shenzhen Peng City: Garcia E. (Red Card) Zhang Yujie (Injury)
There are questionable in Changchun Yatai: Cyprien W. (Injury) Wu Yake (Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Changchun Yatai won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Changchun Yatai won against Shenzhen Peng City?

Changchun Yatai has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shenzhen Peng City won against Changchun Yatai?

Shenzhen Peng City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Peng City were as follows:

15.04.2025 Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai 3:1

21.07.2024 Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai 2:1

01.05.2024 Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Peng City 1:1

Latest results of Changchun Yatai

16.08.2025 Changchun Yatai - Meizhou Hakka 1:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Shandong Taishan - Changchun Yatai 2:1 ✺

03.08.2025 Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai 0:0 ✺

27.07.2025 Changchun Yatai - Dalian Young Boy 0:2 ✺

18.07.2025 Changchun Yatai - Shanghai Port 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Shenzhen Peng City

16.08.2025 Shenzhen Peng City - Shandong Taishan 1:3 ✺

08.08.2025 Henan Songshan Longmen - Shenzhen Peng City 4:1 ✺

03.08.2025 Shenzhen Peng City - Zhejiang Professional 2:4 ✺

26.07.2025 Yunnan Yukun - Shenzhen Peng City 3:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Shenzhen Peng City - Qingdao Hainiu 4:0 ✺

Chinese Super League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chengdu Rongcheng	23	15	5	3	48:18	30	50
2	Shanghai Shenhua	23	15	4	4	49:26	23	49
3	Shanghai Port	23	14	6	3	53:32	21	48
4	Beijing Guoan	23	14	6	3	51:32	19	48
5	Shandong Taishan	23	12	4	7	51:35	16	40
6	Zhejiang Professional	23	9	7	7	46:36	10	34
7	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	23	9	7	7	30:32	-2	34
8	Yunnan Yukun	23	8	6	9	35:44	-9	30
9	Dalian Yingbo	22	8	5	9	21:32	-11	29
10	Qingdao West Coast	22	6	9	7	29:34	-5	27
11	Wuhan Three Towns	23	6	6	11	28:42	-14	24
12	Henan Songshan Longmen	23	6	5	12	38:41	-3	23
13	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	23	6	2	15	28:50	-22	20
14	Meizhou Hakka	23	4	5	14	28:49	-21	17
15	Qingdao Hainiu	23	3	7	13	21:35	-14	16
16	Changchun Yatai	23	4	4	15	19:37	-18	16

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Jia League

Which TV channels are streaming of Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Peng City?

It is being streamed on channel


China	Migu