Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen Peng City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

24/08/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Development Area Stadium (Changchun).

: Super League - Round 22
Referee: Zhang Lei (Chn)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.49	0.70
Ball Possession
38%	62%
Total shots
7	12
Shots on target
1	4
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
2	3
Passes
65% (168/259)	79% (343/433)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49	0.70
xG on target (xGOT)
0.12	0.29
Total shots
7	12
Shots on target
1	4
Shots off target
3	5
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
4	8
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
2	3
Touches in opposition box
9	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
18	17
Passes
65% (168/259)	79% (343/433)
Long passes
25% (17/67)	50% (30/60)
Passes in final third
44% (37/84)	58% (80/138)
Crosses
27% (4/15)	29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.29	0.69
Throw-ins
29	34
Fouls
19	19
Tackles
53% (10/19)	53% (10/19)
Duels won
58	71
Clearances
36	30
Interceptions
6	6
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	0
xGOT faced
0.29	0.12
Goals prevented
0.29	-0.88

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Zhang Wei 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Omoijuanfo O. ⚽, Salazar J. (A),
53', Li Shenyuan 🟨,
71', Liao Lisheng ↓, Zhang Xiaobin ↑,
78', Jiang Zhipeng ↓, Orr M. ↑,
83', Kartsev E. 🟨,
87', Salazar J. ↓, Asqer A. ↑,
90', Yu Rui ↓, Li Zhi ↑,
90+4', Xu Haofeng ↓, Sunzu S. ↑,
90+5', Omoijuanfo O. 🟨,
90+8', Abduweli Behram 🟨,
90+9', Piao Taoyu ↓, Wang Yu ↑,
90+9', Zhao Yingjie ↓, Zhang Huachen ↑,
90+16', Abdugheni Abduhamit 🟨,
90+17', Tan Long ↓, Tian Yuda ↑,

Chances of winning

Changchun Yatai
34.9%

Draw
27.8%

Shenzhen Peng City
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

28%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

26.2%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Changchun Yatai's form might have worsened.

Shenzhen Peng City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shenzhen Peng City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shenzhen Peng City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Peng City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.23)	3.37 ↑ (3.34)	2.57 ↓ (3.11)	6.2% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Peng City?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Changchun Yatai: 45% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 1.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Changchun Yatai might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Shenzhen Peng City: Garcia E. (Red Card) Zhang Yujie (Injury)
There are questionable in Changchun Yatai: Cyprien W. (Injury) Wu Yake (Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Changchun Yatai won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Changchun Yatai won against Shenzhen Peng City?

Changchun Yatai has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shenzhen Peng City won against Changchun Yatai?

Shenzhen Peng City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Peng City were as follows:

15.04.2025 Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai 3:1

21.07.2024 Shenzhen Peng City - Changchun Yatai 2:1

01.05.2024 Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Peng City 1:1

Latest results of Changchun Yatai

16.08.2025 Changchun Yatai - Meizhou Hakka 1:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Shandong Taishan - Changchun Yatai 2:1 ✺

03.08.2025 Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai 0:0 ✺

27.07.2025 Changchun Yatai - Dalian Young Boy 0:2 ✺

18.07.2025 Changchun Yatai - Shanghai Port 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Shenzhen Peng City

16.08.2025 Shenzhen Peng City - Shandong Taishan 1:3 ✺

08.08.2025 Henan Songshan Longmen - Shenzhen Peng City 4:1 ✺

03.08.2025 Shenzhen Peng City - Zhejiang Professional 2:4 ✺

26.07.2025 Yunnan Yukun - Shenzhen Peng City 3:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Shenzhen Peng City - Qingdao Hainiu 4:0 ✺

Chinese Super League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shanghai Port	26	17	6	3	63:38	25	57
2	Chengdu Rongcheng	26	16	7	3	53:22	31	55
3	Shanghai Shenhua	26	16	6	4	59:31	28	54
4	Beijing Guoan	26	15	6	5	57:39	18	51
5	Shandong Taishan	25	12	6	7	56:40	16	42
6	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	25	11	7	7	35:32	3	40
7	Zhejiang Professional	26	10	9	7	54:42	12	39
8	Dalian Yingbo	25	9	6	10	26:38	-12	33
9	Yunnan Yukun	25	8	7	10	38:49	-11	31
10	Qingdao West Coast	24	7	9	8	31:37	-6	30
11	Henan Songshan Longmen	25	8	5	12	45:43	2	29
12	Wuhan Three Towns	26	6	6	14	32:54	-22	24
13	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	25	6	2	17	29:53	-24	20
14	Qingdao Hainiu	24	3	8	13	23:37	-14	17
15	Changchun Yatai	25	4	5	16	22:41	-19	17
16	Meizhou Hakka	25	4	5	16	30:57	-27	17

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Jia League

Which TV channels are streaming of Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Peng City?

It is being streamed on channel


China	Migu