Changchun Yatai vs Qingdao Hainiu: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Chinese Super League Changchun Yatai - Qingdao Hainiu
Result
2:2
27/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super League - Round 26
Changchun Yatai - Qingdao Hainiu - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.930.90
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
78% (304/390)82% (333/408)
Yellow Cards
25
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.930.90
xG on target (xGOT)
2.041.43
Total shots
128
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
229
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
198
Passes
78% (304/390)82% (333/408)
Long passes
45% (30/67)41% (24/59)
Passes in final third
58% (76/130)68% (65/96)
Crosses
27% (7/26)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.35
Throw-ins
2922
Fouls
819
Tackles
73% (11/15)80% (12/15)
Duels won
6145
Clearances
1447
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.432.04
Goals prevented
-0.570.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', Wang Zhifeng 🟥,
  • 11', Peng Xinli 🟨,
  • 14', Zhao Yingjie , An Z. ,
  • 15', 0 - 1, Lin Chuangyi ,
  • 45+7', Jin Yangyang 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Liu Junshuai , Liu Jiashen ,
  • 46', Peng Xinli , Asqer A. ,
  • 46', Piao Taoyu , Cyprien W. ,
  • 48', Asqer A. 🟨,
  • 50', Jin Yonghao 🟨,
  • 51', Jin Yonghao , Li Hailong ,
  • 54', Wellington Silva 🟨,
  • 58', Lin Chuangyi , Xiao Kun ,
  • 58', Wei Suowei , Song Long ,
  • 67', Xiao Kun 🟨,
  • 72', 0 - 2, Xiao Kun , Wellington Silva (A),
  • 74', Peng Xinli , Wang Yu ,
  • 81', Liu Jiashen 🟨,
  • 85', He Yiran , Liu Guobao ,
  • 87', Mijit Mewlan , Zhang Chi ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Tan Long , Omoijuanfo O. (A),
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Asqer A. ,

Chances of winning


Changchun Yatai
16.8%
Draw
26.8%
Qingdao Hainiu
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 27.7% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1% 28.1% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Changchun Yatai's form might have worsened.
  • Qingdao Hainiu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Qingdao Hainiu's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+18.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Changchun Yatai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Hainiu than the current prediction. (-19.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Qingdao Hainiu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Changchun Yatai - Qingdao Hainiu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.41
    (2.67)
    4.33
    (3.44)
    1.94
    (2.6)
    -11.7%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Changchun Yatai - Qingdao Hainiu?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Changchun Yatai (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Changchun Yatai will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Qingdao Hainiu has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Changchun Yatai: Wu Yake (Injury) Xuan Z. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Qingdao Hainiu: Feng Boyuan (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Qingdao Hainiu: Song Wenjie (Inactive)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Changchun Yatai won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Changchun Yatai - Qingdao Hainiu were as follows:
    05.05.2025 Qingdao Hainiu - Changchun Yatai 3:0
    30.06.2024 Changchun Yatai - Qingdao Hainiu 5:0
    08.03.2024 Qingdao Hainiu - Changchun Yatai 0:1
    26.08.2023 Qingdao Hainiu - Changchun Yatai 1:0
    25.07.2023 Qingdao Hainiu - Changchun Yatai 1:0
    Latest results of Changchun Yatai
    Latest results of Qingdao Hainiu
    Chinese Super League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Port26176363:382557
    2Chengdu Rongcheng26167353:223155
    3Shanghai Shenhua26166459:312854
    4Beijing Guoan26156557:391851
    5Shandong Taishan26127757:411643
    6Tianjin Jinmen Tiger26127736:32443
    7Zhejiang Professional26109754:421239
    8Qingdao West Coast2699835:38-336
    9Dalian Yingbo26961126:40-1433
    10Yunnan Yukun26881039:50-1132
    11Henan Songshan Longmen26851345:44129
    12Wuhan Three Towns26661432:54-2224
    13Shenzhen Xinpengcheng26621830:55-2520
    14Meizhou Hakka26551631:57-2620
    15Qingdao Hainiu26391425:40-1518
    16Changchun Yatai26461624:43-1918

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Jia League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Changchun Yatai - Qingdao Hainiu?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
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