Ceuta vs Zaragoza: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish LaLiga2 Ceuta - Zaragoza
Result
1:0
21/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga2 - Round 6
  • Referee: Ojaos A. (Esp)
Ceuta - Zaragoza - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.440.96
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
712
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
76% (264/349)76% (225/298)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
0.440.96
xG on target (xGOT)
0.500.55
Total shots
712
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1813
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1018
Passes
76% (264/349)76% (225/298)
Long passes
43% (24/56)45% (21/47)
Passes in final third
63% (74/118)65% (65/100)
Crosses
9% (2/23)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.410.42
Throw-ins
1820
Fouls
1810
Tackles
50% (6/12)75% (15/20)
Duels won
4058
Clearances
1517
Interceptions
149
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.550.50
Goals prevented
0.55-0.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Fernandez Sanchez M. 🟨,
  • 12', Sebastian J. 🟨,
  • 23', Zalazar K. 🟨,
  • 29', Hernandez C. 🟨,
  • 35', Youness 🟨,
  • 36', de la Fuente P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Sebastian J. , Francho ,
  • 49', Kone K. 🟨,
  • 65', Gomez D. , Bazdar S. ,
  • 65', Kodro K. , Sans P. ,
  • 68', 1 - 0, Fernandez Sanchez M. , Matos Jose (A),
  • 68', Zalazar K. , Anuar ,
  • 68', Youness , Bodiger Y. ,
  • 73', de la Fuente P. , Valery ,
  • 78', Bare K. , Moya T. ,
  • 78', Ahmed A. , Rodriguez C. ,
  • 85', Kone K. , Sanchez S. ,
  • 85', Almenara G. , Caparros A. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ym7ant9r

Chances of winning


Ceuta
45%
Draw
28.4%
Zaragoza
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 28.9% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 28.9% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceuta's performance.
  • Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zaragoza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceuta that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zaragoza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ceuta - Zaragoza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.38)
    3.32
    (3.23)
    3.55
    (2.92)
    4.9%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Ceuta - Zaragoza?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7%80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Cantero Y. (Red Card) Ortuno J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Zaragoza: Carbonell L. (Knee Injury) Kosa S. (Knee Injury) Tasende D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ceuta: Sanchez M. (Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Ceuta
    14.09.2025 Castellón - Ceuta 3:3
    07.09.2025 Ceuta - Huesca 2:1
    30.08.2025 Racing Santander - Ceuta 4:1
    23.08.2025 Ceuta - Sporting de Gijón 0:1
    15.08.2025 Valladolid - Ceuta 3:0
    Latest results of Zaragoza
    06.09.2025 Zaragoza - Valladolid 1:1
    30.08.2025 Castellón - Zaragoza 1:1
    23.08.2025 Zaragoza - FC Andorra 1:3
    17.08.2025 Real Sociedad B - Zaragoza 1:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. La Coruna844017:61116
    2Racing Santander851221:14716
    3Cadiz CF84319:6315
    4Andorra842213:10314
    5Las Palmas84228:5314
    6Huesca84138:10-213
    7Burgos CF833213:9412
    8Valladolid83329:6312
    9Almeria833214:14012
    10Eibar832310:7311
    11Castellon832313:12111
    12Ceuta83238:12-411
    13Leganes82428:7110
    14Albacete823314:16-29
    15Gijon830511:14-39
    16Cordoba82339:12-39
    17Mirandes82249:12-38
    18Granada CF822411:15-48
    19Malaga82246:10-48
    20Cultural Leonesa82247:12-58
    21Zaragoza81344:8-46
    22Real Sociedad B813411:16-56

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Ceuta - Zaragoza?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, Dsports 9
    chileChileDirecTV Sports
    ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 9
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
    peruPeruDirecTV Sports, DSports 9
    south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
    spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
    uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
    venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter
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