Castellón vs Ceuta: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish LaLiga2 Castellón - Ceuta
Result
3:3
14/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga2 - Round 5
  • Referee: Moreno A. (Esp)
Castellón - Ceuta - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.780.75
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
106
Passes
81% (322/396)72% (189/262)
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.780.75
xG on target (xGOT)
3.091.16
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
106
Touches in opposition box
3815
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
81% (322/396)72% (189/262)
Long passes
58% (28/48)34% (19/56)
Passes in final third
74% (120/163)56% (35/63)
Crosses
28% (10/36)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.65
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
1112
Tackles
65% (13/20)79% (15/19)
Duels won
5746
Clearances
1745
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.163.09
Goals prevented
-1.840.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Fernandez Sanchez M. ,
  • 14', Brignani F. 🟨,
  • 16', 1 - 1, Sienra A. , Cipenga B. (A),
  • 32', 2 - 1, Calatrava A. , Barri (A),
  • 35', Caparros A. 🟨,
  • 39', Santiago P. 🟨,
  • 45', Cantero Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 47', 2 - 2, Matos Jose , Ahmed A. (A),
  • 52', Ahmed A. , Anuar ,
  • 59', 2 - 3, Fernandez Sanchez M. , Jamelli (A),
  • 60', Mabil A. , Suero I. ,
  • 60', Barri , Serpeta ,
  • 60', Brignani F. , Doue M. ,
  • 69', Cantero Y. 🟨,
  • 71', Santiago P. , Markanich N. ,
  • 76', Kone K. , Gonzalez D. ,
  • 76', Jamelli , Bodiger Y. ,
  • 83', Fernandez Sanchez M. 🟨,
  • 83', Ruiz S. , Tincho ,
  • 84', Fernandez Sanchez M. , Almenara G. ,
  • 84', Zalazar K. , Obeng S. ,
  • 90+3', Obeng S. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 3 - 3, Suero I. (Pen),
  • 90+8', Doue M. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2fp9x3mx

Chances of winning


Castellón
49.8%
Draw
27.8%
Ceuta
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.7% 24.4% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9% 23.5% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castellón's form might have worsened.
  • Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castellón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Castellón - Ceuta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (1.65)
    3.78
    (3.85)
    4.57
    (4.94)
    -7.6%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Castellón - Ceuta?
  • Users Predictions: Castellón will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Castellón is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ceuta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Castellón is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Matthys R. (Hip Injury)
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Bodiger Y. (Ribs Injury) Ortuno J. (Injury) Sanchez M. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Castellón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castellón - Ceuta were as follows:
    11.02.2024 Castellón - Ceuta 2:2
    15.10.2023 Ceuta - Castellón 1:3
    Latest results of Castellón
    05.09.2025 Córdoba - Castellón 2:1
    30.08.2025 Castellón - Zaragoza 1:1
    22.08.2025 Castellón - Valladolid 0:1
    Latest results of Ceuta
    07.09.2025 Ceuta - Huesca 2:1
    30.08.2025 Racing Santander - Ceuta 4:1
    23.08.2025 Ceuta - Sporting de Gijón 0:1
    15.08.2025 Valladolid - Ceuta 3:0
    05.08.2025 Ceuta - Sevilla B 3:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. La Coruna743016:51115
    2Andorra742112:8414
    3Cadiz CF64209:5414
    4Racing Santander741218:14413
    5Eibar732210:6411
    6Valladolid63218:4411
    7Las Palmas73227:5211
    8Almeria732213:13011
    9Huesca63126:8-210
    10Burgos CF623110:649
    11Gijon63037:709
    12Malaga62225:508
    13Leganes61416:517
    14Mirandes72148:11-37
    15Ceuta62137:12-57
    16Zaragoza71334:7-36
    17Castellon61239:11-25
    18Real Sociedad B61238:10-25
    19Albacete612310:13-35
    20Cordoba61237:11-45
    21Cultural Leonesa61146:12-64
    22Granada CF60245:13-82

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Castellón - Ceuta?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
    peruPeruDisney+
    spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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