Sampdoria vs Cesena: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie B Sampdoria - Cesena
Result
1:2
13/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B - Round 3
  • Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
Sampdoria - Cesena - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.351.97
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
81% (375/465)75% (297/396)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.351.97
xG on target (xGOT)
0.281.70
Total shots
118
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
44
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
1124
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1718
Passes
81% (375/465)75% (297/396)
Long passes
36% (20/56)26% (15/58)
Passes in final third
63% (71/112)62% (78/126)
Crosses
11% (1/9)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.271.27
Throw-ins
2124
Fouls
1917
Tackles
50% (7/14)53% (8/15)
Duels won
6560
Clearances
2927
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
1.700.28
Goals prevented
-0.30-0.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', Vulikic S. 🟨,
  • 24', Riccio A. 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Castagnetti M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Conti F. , Cuni M. ,
  • 51', Pedrola E. , Cherubini L. ,
  • 53', 0 - 2, Zaro G. ,
  • 56', Henderson L. 🟨,
  • 69', Barak A. , Pafundi S. ,
  • 69', Venuti L. , Depaoli F. ,
  • 71', Shpendi C. 🟨,
  • 77', Ciervo R. , Adamo E. ,
  • 78', Bisoli D. , Francesconi M. ,
  • 81', Berti T. 🟨,
  • 83', Henderson L. , Bellemo A. ,
  • 83', Berti T. , Bastoni S. ,
  • 83', Shpendi C. , Balde S. ,
  • 85', Depaoli F. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, Ioannou N. , Pafundi S. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sampdoria
19.4%
Draw
28.3%
Cesena
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 31% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 30.8% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sampdoria's form might have worsened.
  • Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cesena's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+18.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sampdoria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-21.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cesena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sampdoria - Cesena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.03
    (2.45)
    5.24
    (3.01)
    2.59
    (3.04)
    -29.9%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Sampdoria - Cesena?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Cesena will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sampdoria (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sampdoria has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cesena has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Sampdoria: Altare G. (Knee Injury) Barak A. (Injury) Malagrida L. (Ankle Injury) Romagnoli S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sampdoria won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sampdoria won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sampdoria - Cesena were as follows:
    17.01.2025 Sampdoria - Cesena 1:2
    20.10.2024 Cesena - Sampdoria 3:5
    Latest results of Sampdoria
    25.08.2025 Sampdoria - Modena 0:2
    18.08.2025 Spezia - Sampdoria 2:1
    10.08.2025 Sampdoria - Pontedera 1:0
    06.08.2025 Sampdoria - Novara 0:0
    Latest results of Cesena
    30.08.2025 Cesena - Virtus Entella 1:1
    22.08.2025 Pescara - Cesena 1:3
    17.08.2025 Cesena - Pisa 0:1
    02.08.2025 Mantova - Cesena 1:2
    26.07.2025 Forlì - Cesena 1:1
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Modena43109:2710
    2Palermo43106:1510
    3Cesena43108:4410
    4Frosinone42205:238
    5Monza42114:317
    6Avellino42117:707
    7Juve Stabia41304:226
    8Carrarese41216:515
    9Reggiana41216:515
    10Sudtirol41216:605
    11Venezia41215:505
    12Entella41214:405
    13Pescara41128:714
    14Catanzaro40404:404
    15Padova41123:5-24
    16Empoli41125:9-44
    17Mantova41033:6-33
    18Spezia40222:6-42
    19Bari40132:8-61
    20Sampdoria40042:8-60

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Sampdoria - Cesena?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
    russiaRussiaTelekanal Futbol
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDCTV
    usaUsaDCTV
    worldWorldOnefootball
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