Progreso vs Cerro: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Uruguayan Primera Division Progreso - Cerro
Result
2:0
05/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 10
  • Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)
Progreso - Cerro - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
56
Shots on target
22
Corner Kicks
22
Yellow Cards
53
Total shots
56
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Silva G. ,
  • 28', Frugone A. 🟨,
  • 30', Cougo A. 🟨,
  • 31', Villar M. 🟨,
  • 39', 2 - 0, Lemmo I. (Pen),
  • 44', Lopez F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Miranda A. , Caceres S. ,
  • 46', Villar M. , Alvarez J. ,
  • 46', Neira I. , Larrosa E. ,
  • 48', Fernandez N. 🟨,
  • 53', Colombino A. 🟨,
  • 60', Morales B. , Cuello E. ,
  • 66', Silva G. , Pinheiro A. ,
  • 66', Fernandez N. , Hernandez R. ,
  • 67', Frugone A. , Ocampo M. ,
  • 74', Colombino A. , De Los Santos M. ,
  • 74', Lemmo I. , Lopez P. ,
  • 84', Olivera Moreira L. N. 🟨,
  • 85', Lopez F. , Carroso H. ,
  • 90', Cuello E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Progreso
42.4%
Draw
29.5%
Cerro
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 27.4% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 26.5% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Progreso - Cerro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.25)
    3.13
    (3.4)
    3.32
    (3)
    7.6%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Progreso - Cerro?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Progreso (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Progreso will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Progreso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Progreso will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Progreso won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Progreso - Cerro were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Cerro - Progreso 0:0
    14.09.2024 Progreso - Cerro 0:1
    01.03.2024 Cerro - Progreso 2:3
    10.09.2022 Cerro - Progreso 1:1
    Latest results of Progreso
    Latest results of Cerro
    21.09.2025 Cerro - Miramar Misiones 1:0
    14.09.2025 Danubio - Cerro 5:1
    07.09.2025 Cerro - Cerro Largo 0:1
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol1182123:91426
    2Nacional1173121:91221
    3Montevideo City1163221:13821
    4Boston River1155120:81220
    5Liverpool M1154215:12319
    6Defensor Sp116148:10-219
    7Progreso1152413:11217
    8Cerro Largo1152412:11117
    9CA Cerro115159:12-316
    10Danubio1142514:11314
    11Miramar1133515:16-112
    12Racing Montevideo113359:18-912
    13Juventud113266:10-411
    14River Plate111375:16-116
    15Wanderers111285:16-115
    16Plaza Colonia111287:21-145

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    Which TV channels are streaming of Progreso - Cerro?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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