Cerro vs Progreso: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Uruguayan Primera Division Cerro - Progreso
Result
0:0
06/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 10
  • Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)
Cerro - Progreso - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
610
Shots on target
13
Corner Kicks
38
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
610
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
57
Corner Kicks
38
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Villar M. 🟨,
  • 43', Pinheiro A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Silva G. , Fernandez N. ,
  • 57', Miranda A. , Ocampo M. ,
  • 57', Caceres S. , Mulet A. ,
  • 67', Haller R. , Camacho S. ,
  • 69', Colombino A. 🟨,
  • 78', Camacho S. 🟨,
  • 79', Lopez P. , Viera M. ,
  • 81', Alonso M. , Aires A. ,
  • 81', Benitez B. , Almeida E. ,
  • 87', Garcia A. , Rivero J. ,
  • 87', Pinheiro A. , Trasante G. ,
  • 89', Aires A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cerro
40.3%
Draw
30.2%
Progreso
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 28.6% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 27.7% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerro's form might have worsened.
  • Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Progreso's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Progreso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cerro - Progreso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (1.94)
    3.04
    (3.2)
    3.17
    (3.8)
    7.7%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Cerro - Progreso?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cerro will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerro won 1.
    • Cerro is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recent matches Progreso is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Cerro will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Cerro won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17:19 (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cerro won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:12 (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro - Progreso were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Progreso - Cerro 0:1
    01.03.2024 Cerro - Progreso 2:3
    10.09.2022 Cerro - Progreso 1:1
    Latest results of Cerro
    27.03.2025 Miramar Misiones - Cerro 1:1
    23.03.2025 Cerro - Danubio 1:1
    Latest results of Progreso
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Torneo Intermedio

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol751115:51016
    2Defensor Sp742112:10214
    3Wanderers73316:5112
    4Plaza Colonia71516:7-18
    5Liverpool M722310:12-28
    6CA Cerro72237:9-28
    7River Plate61144:8-44
    8Cerro Largo60245:9-42


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional660013:4918
    2Racing Montevideo640210:5512
    3Juventud640212:11112
    4Danubio63129:8110
    5Boston River72148:12-47
    6Progreso62044:8-46
    7Montevideo City61149:11-24
    8Miramar71152:8-64

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    Which TV channels are streaming of Cerro - Progreso?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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