Danubio vs Cerro: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Uruguayan Primera Division Danubio - Cerro
Result
5:1
14/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 7
  • Referee: Heras H. (Uru)
Danubio - Cerro - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
83
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
01
Total shots
106
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
23
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Rinaldi M. ,
  • 15', 2 - 0, Mayada C. ,
  • 29', Larrosa E. 🟨,
  • 33', 3 - 0, Fernandez S. ,
  • 34', Larrosa E. 🟥,
  • 38', 4 - 0, Mayada C. ,
  • 45+1', Romero S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Romero S. , Peralta M. ,
  • 46', Miranda A. , Farias M. ,
  • 46', Neira I. , Cuello E. ,
  • 46', Valenzuela I. , Sosa E. ,
  • 47', Peralta M. 🟨,
  • 48', 5 - 0, Nunez S. , Sanseviero L. (A),
  • 59', Fernandez S. , Lopez M. ,
  • 59', Nunez S. , Brandao ,
  • 59', Gonzalez M. , Sanchez V. ,
  • 66', Camacho S. , Morales B. ,
  • 73', Sanseviero L. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 78', Frugone A. 🟨,
  • 80', Caceres S. , Nichele M. ,
  • 84', Perg M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 5 - 1, Rinaldi M. (Own goal),

Chances of winning


Danubio
50.1%
Draw
28%
Cerro
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 28.6% 28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 27.8% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Danubio's performance.
  • Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cerro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Danubio that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Danubio - Cerro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.14)
    3.54
    (3.23)
    4.64
    (3.28)
    1.7%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Danubio - Cerro?
  • Users Predictions: Danubio will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Cerro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Danubio could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 0.8:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Danubio won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 0.6:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Danubio - Cerro were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Cerro - Danubio 1:1
    14.11.2024 Danubio - Cerro 0:0
    22.06.2024 Cerro - Danubio 0:0
    11.05.2024 Cerro - Danubio 2:0
    19.10.2023 Cerro - Danubio 1:1
    Latest results of Danubio
    Latest results of Cerro
    07.09.2025 Cerro - Cerro Largo 0:1
    17.08.2025 Plaza Colonia - Cerro 0:2
    10.08.2025 Cerro - Racing Montevideo 1:2
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol861116:61019
    2Boston River853017:41318
    3Montevideo City852116:9717
    4Nacional861119:81116
    5Cerro Largo85128:4416
    6Defensor Sp85036:8-215
    7Liverpool M833210:9112
    8Danubio831412:9310
    9Miramar831413:11210
    10Progreso831410:11-110
    11CA Cerro83147:10-310
    12Racing Montevideo83147:15-810
    13Juventud83055:8-39
    14Wanderers81162:11-94
    15River Plate80262:13-112
    16Plaza Colonia80175:19-141

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