Sporting Cristal vs Cerro Porteño: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Libertadores Sporting Cristal - Cerro Porteño
Result
0:1
13/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
Sporting Cristal - Cerro Porteño - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.74
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
79% (411/518)63% (151/241)
Yellow Cards
53
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.060.74
xG on target (xGOT)
1.730.86
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
106
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
2115
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
79% (411/518)63% (151/241)
Long passes
44% (29/66)45% (24/53)
Passes in final third
62% (84/135)52% (48/93)
Crosses
18% (5/28)50% (5/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.61
Throw-ins
2312
Fouls
1313
Tackles
67% (10/15)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5169
Clearances
2058
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
0.861.73
Goals prevented
-0.141.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', Perez M. 🟨,
  • 14', 0 - 1, Iturbe J. , Carrizo F. (A),
  • 20', Pacheco F. 🟨,
  • 25', Sosa L. , Lora J. ,
  • 45+1', Lutiger R. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Torres J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Lutiger R. , Pasquini N. ,
  • 53', Chavez G. 🟨,
  • 53', Piris R. 🟨,
  • 63', Cabellos C. , Alarcon J. ,
  • 70', Tavara M. 🟨,
  • 72', Pacheco F. , Castro M. ,
  • 72', Chavez G. , Avila I. ,
  • 73', Carrizo F. , Valdez B. ,
  • 73', Iturbe J. , Aguayo G. ,
  • 80', Dominguez C. , Araujo S. ,
  • 84', Torres J. 🟥,
  • 89', Leon D. , Morel J. ,
  • 90+6', Alarcon J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sporting Cristal
35.2%
Draw
28.8%
Cerro Porteño
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 28.4% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1% 29% 36.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • The chances for Cerro Porteño have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Sporting Cristal - Cerro Porteño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (2.65)
    3.27
    (3.34)
    2.63
    (2.64)
    5.9%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal - Cerro Porteño?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting Cristal (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • AH 0 - Cerro Porteño (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Sporting Cristal will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sporting Cristal is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cerro Porteño's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Sporting Cristal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cazonatti G. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez S. (Injury) Yotun Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Cerro Porteño: Gimenez G. (Inactive) Melgarejo R. (Knee Injury) Morel J. (Inactive) Viera W. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Iberico L. (Injury) Sosa M. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sporting Cristal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Cristal - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
    24.04.2025 Cerro Porteño - Sporting Cristal 2:2
    Latest results of Sporting Cristal
    Latest results of Cerro Porteño
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. NacionalSao Paulo1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Botafogo RJLDU Quito0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Libertad AsuncionRiver Plate1 : 2, 0 : 0
    4U. de DeportesPalmeiras0 : 0, 0 : 4
    5FortalezaVelez Sarsfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    6PenarolRacing Club1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Cerro PortenoEstudiantes L.P.0 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Flamengo RJInternacional2 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sao PauloLDU Quito
    2River PlatePalmeiras
    3Velez SarsfieldRacing Club
    4Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo RJ
    Which TV channels are streaming of Sporting Cristal - Cerro Porteño?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 3
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
    brazilBrazilParamount+
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
    indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
    israelIsraelSport 1
    italyItalyComo TV
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
    peruPeruDisney+
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
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