Nacional Asuncion vs Cerro Porteño: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Paraguayan Primera Division Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño
Result
1:3
15/04/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 14
  • Referee: Ojeda D. (Par)
Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.441.39
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
912
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
72% (212/294)85% (488/577)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.441.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.051.95
Total shots
912
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
00
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
1612
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
912
Passes
72% (212/294)85% (488/577)
Long passes
43% (21/49)46% (31/68)
Passes in final third
59% (54/91)65% (74/113)
Crosses
28% (5/18)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.160.86
Fouls
129
Tackles
79% (15/19)73% (11/15)
Duels won
5052
Clearances Total
1430
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.951.05
Goals prevented
-1.05-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Iturbe J. , Benitez A. G. (A),
  • 31', 1 - 1, Caballero Fleytas T. I. , Prieto R. (A),
  • 45+2', 1 - 2, Iturbe J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Sonora A. , Viera W. ,
  • 53', 1 - 3, Torres J. , Viera W. (A),
  • 55', Caballero Fleytas T. I. , Colman C. ,
  • 55', Gaona Lugo O. , Alfaro J. F. ,
  • 65', Gomez R. , Benitez A. ,
  • 67', Ortiz C. , Duarte D. ,
  • 67', Monteagudo J. , Caceres D. ,
  • 70', Iturbe J. , Dominguez C. ,
  • 78', Torres J. , Chico ,
  • 78', Gimenez G. , Eliseche N. ,
  • 86', Arrua C. , Quintana S. ,
  • 90+6', Alfaro J. F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nacional Asuncion
27.9%
Draw
31.4%
Cerro Porteño
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.3% 28.8% 39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8% 28.4% 40.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.33
    (2.9)
    2.95
    (3.15)
    2.28
    (2.28)
    7.8%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 6).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 0.
    • Nacional is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Cerro Porteño is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Cerro Porteño could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Cerro Porteño will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Nacional won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 22:32 (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:17 (average 1.4:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion 3:1
    10.11.2024 Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño 2:2
    27.08.2024 Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion 2:1
    05.06.2024 Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño 0:2
    30.03.2024 Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion 1:0
    Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
    Latest results of Cerro Porteño
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Libertad Asuncion19107232:141837
    2Cerro Porteno19104526:161034
    3Guarani18102621:17432
    4Olimpia Asuncion1885525:20529
    5Sportivo Trinidense19510421:20125
    6Recoleta1967628:29-125
    7Ameliano1856718:19-121
    8General Caballero JLM1956816:20-421
    9Nacional Asuncion19631018:23-521
    10Sp. Luqueno1948712:23-1120
    11Atl. Tembetary1939715:21-618
    122 de Mayo1829713:23-1015

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    Which TV channels are streaming of Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
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