Guaraní Asuncion vs Cerro Porteño: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Paraguayan Primera Division Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño
Result
0:2
10/05/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 18
  • Referee: Lopez D. (Par)
Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.661.29
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
70% (230/330)75% (260/348)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.661.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.071.00
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
108
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2624
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
1414
Passes
70% (230/330)75% (260/348)
Long passes
35% (19/55)42% (27/64)
Passes in final third
56% (57/101)51% (47/92)
Crosses
35% (8/23)50% (8/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.340.81
Throw-ins
2020
Fouls
1414
Tackles
52% (12/23)80% (12/15)
Duels won
6172
Clearances
2238
Interceptions
414
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
1.000.07
Goals prevented
-1.000.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 4', Leon D. 🟨,
  • 8', 0 - 1, Araujo S. ,
  • 22', Pinatares B. , Maiz A. ,
  • 26', 0 - 2, Araujo S. , Aguayo G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Mendieta W. , Torales Richard ,
  • 46', Araujo S. , Rodriguez D. ,
  • 46', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
  • 55', Vargas G. 🟨,
  • 56', Benitez Cabrera A. J. , Cespedes V. ,
  • 63', Dominguez C. , Chico ,
  • 65', Perez D. , Patino Martinez J. ,
  • 65', Fernandez F. , Pereira A. ,
  • 67', Manzur A. 🟨,
  • 73', Fernandez D. 🟨,
  • 80', Farina A. , Piris R. ,
  • 88', Perez M. , Velazquez G. ,
  • 89', Aguayo G. , Iturbe J. ,

Chances of winning


Guaraní Asuncion
28.8%
Draw
29.8%
Cerro Porteño
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.2% 28.3% 45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4% 29.2% 46.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerro Porteño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.23
    (3.55)
    3.11
    (3.29)
    2.24
    (2.05)
    7.7%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 3.
    • Guaraní has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Cerro Porteño has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cerro Porteño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Cerro Porteño has had a series of home games.
    • Cerro Porteño could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Cerro Porteño - Guaraní Asuncion 0:1
    16.11.2024 Cerro Porteño - Guaraní Asuncion 1:2
    31.08.2024 Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño 1:0
    22.05.2024 Cerro Porteño - Guaraní Asuncion 2:0
    01.03.2024 Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño 1:1
    Latest results of Cerro Porteño
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Libertad Asuncion19107232:141837
    2Cerro Porteno19104526:161034
    3Guarani18102621:17432
    4Olimpia Asuncion1885525:20529
    5Sportivo Trinidense19510421:20125
    6Recoleta1967628:29-125
    7Ameliano1856718:19-121
    8General Caballero JLM1956816:20-421
    9Nacional Asuncion19631018:23-521
    10Sp. Luqueno1948712:23-1120
    11Atl. Tembetary1939715:21-618
    122 de Mayo1829713:23-1015

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