Guaraní Asuncion vs Cerro Porteño: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Paraguayan Primera Division Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño
Result
3:4
16/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 8
  • Referee: Romero B. (Par)
Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.572.29
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
77
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
74% (232/313)77% (268/349)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
1.572.29
xG on target (xGOT)
1.653.47
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1822
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
74% (232/313)77% (268/349)
Long passes
55% (35/64)40% (25/63)
Passes in final third
48% (40/83)63% (50/80)
Crosses
20% (4/20)43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.58
Throw-ins
2015
Fouls
1615
Tackles
69% (9/13)100% (4/4)
Duels won
5041
Clearances
2341
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
3.471.65
Goals prevented
-0.53-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Araujo S. ,
  • 31', 0 - 2, Iturbe J. , Riveros B. (A),
  • 33', 1 - 2, Ramirez I. ,
  • 43', Benitez Cabrera A. J. 🟨,
  • 45', Carrizo F. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 2 - 2, Quintana Rodriguez L. A. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Martinez L. , Servin T. ,
  • 62', Barbotte A. 🟨,
  • 66', Ramirez I. 🟨,
  • 70', 2 - 3, Carrizo F. (Pen),
  • 71', Jhon Sanchez , Mendieta W. ,
  • 71', Benitez Cabrera A. J. , Torales R. ,
  • 73', Araujo S. , Aliseda I. ,
  • 73', Marcelino J. , Morel J. ,
  • 73', Iturbe J. , Dominguez C. ,
  • 76', Dominguez F. 🟨,
  • 76', Manzur A. 🟨,
  • 78', 2 - 4, Amarilla L. , Aliseda I. (A),
  • 79', 3 - 4, Maidana A. ,
  • 82', Zaracho S. , Mino Amarilla C. E. ,
  • 83', Barbotte A. , Perez D. ,
  • 83', Carrizo F. , Torres J. ,
  • 83', Amarilla L. , Gomez R. ,
  • 88', Mendieta W. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Guaraní Asuncion
28.3%
Draw
29.4%
Cerro Porteño
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.4% 28.6% 46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8% 30.5% 49.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerro Porteño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.56
    (3.66)
    3.35
    (3.25)
    2.26
    (2.02)
    2.3%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 3.
    • Guaraní is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Cerro Porteño is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Guaraní may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Cerro Porteño could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:27. (average 0.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño 0:2
    02.03.2025 Cerro Porteño - Guaraní Asuncion 0:1
    16.11.2024 Cerro Porteño - Guaraní Asuncion 1:2
    31.08.2024 Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño 1:0
    22.05.2024 Cerro Porteño - Guaraní Asuncion 2:0
    Latest results of Cerro Porteño
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cerro Porteno962118:12620
    2Guarani961222:91319
    3Sp. Luqueno952213:7617
    4Sportivo Trinidense952215:10517
    5Nacional Asuncion944111:5616
    6Libertad Asuncion933310:8212
    7General Caballero JLM93247:11-411
    82 de Mayo924310:13-310
    9Recoleta923412:15-39
    10Olimpia Asuncion923411:16-59
    11Ameliano91267:18-115
    12Atl. Tembetary90277:19-122

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )

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