Fluminense vs Cerro Porteño: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Libertadores Fluminense - Cerro Porteño
Result
2:1
16/05/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)
Fluminense - Cerro Porteño - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.020.82
Ball Possession
78%22%
Goal Attempts
175
Shots on Goal
62
Shots off Goal
113
Free Kicks
2111
Corner Kicks
70
Offsides
22
Throw-ins
1917
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Fouls
915
Red Cards
01
Yellow Cards
14
Attacks
11451
Dangerous Attacks
6112

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Marcelo , Antonio Carlos (A),
  • 19', 1 - 1, Viera W. , Piris R. (A),
  • 34', Baez C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 65', Diego Churin , Portillo Avalos T. G. ,
  • 65', Carrascal R. , Morel J. ,
  • 70', Baez C. 🟨,
  • 74', 2 - 1, PH Ganso , Guga (A),
  • 75', Dominguez C. , De Jesus R. ,
  • 75', Iturbe J. , Carrizo F. ,
  • 75', Martinelli 🟨,
  • 79', Cano G. , John Kennedy ,
  • 81', Guga , Renato Augusto ,
  • 81', PH Ganso , Felipe Andrade ,
  • 84', Viera W. , Aguayo G. ,
  • 90', De Jesus R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Keno , Isaac ,
  • 90+3', Piris R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fluminense
55.2%
Draw
26.9%
Cerro Porteño
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.7% 20.5% 9.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 17.2% 11.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fluminense's form might have worsened.
  • Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cerro Porteño's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cerro Porteño, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fluminense - Cerro Porteño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.34)
    3.49
    (4.53)
    5.23
    (9.49)
    6.3%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Fluminense - Cerro Porteño?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cerro Porteño: 21.7%78.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Fluminense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Cerro Porteño is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Cerro Porteño could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Fluminense have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Fluminense is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fluminense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Cerro Porteño were as follows:
    25.04.2024 Cerro Porteño - Fluminense 0:0
    Latest results of Fluminense
    Latest results of Cerro Porteño
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Fluminense - Cerro Porteño?
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