Result
4:2
01/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1
- Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (168/231) | 86% (429/497) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (168/231) | 86% (429/497) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (23/41) | 54% (29/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (57/82) | 73% (71/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48% (10/21) | 100% (5/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 27 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 18 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.57 | -2.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Vaca R. ⚽,
- 22', Torren M. ↓, Saavedra E. ↑,
- 32', Justiniano L. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 1, Torres J. ⚽, Benitez A. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Valdez B. ↓, Araujo S. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 1, Torres J. ⚽, Piris R. (A),
- 58', Melgar C. A. ↓, Bruno Savio ↑,
- 61', 3 - 1, Torres J. ⚽, Aguayo G. (A),
- 66', Sagredo J. 🟨,
- 72', 4 - 1, Morel J. ⚽, Velazquez G. (A),
- 73', Robson Matheus ↓, Vaca Moreno E. ↑,
- 73', Pato Rodriguez ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
- 76', Carrizo F. ↓, Viera W. ↑,
- 80', Torres J. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
- 80', Aguayo G. ↓, Quintana Rodriguez L. A. ↑,
- 81', Gimenez G. ↓, Sonora A. ↑,
- 84', Bruno Savio 🟥,
- 89', 4 - 2, Vaca R. ⚽,
- 90+4', Benitez A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cerro Porteño
56.8% | Draw
23.6% | Bolívar
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Cerro Porteño - Bolívar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↑
(1.64) |
3.99 ↓
(4.07) |
4.77 ↓
(4.82) |
6.4%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteño - Bolívar?
The most likely score is 2:1.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- Cerro Porteño in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Bolívar is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Bolívar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Cerro Porteño is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Cerro Porteño to win the game is with odds 1.63.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Cerro Porteño won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:6 (average 0:3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cerro Porteño won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:4
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Bolívar?
Cerro Porteño has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolívar won against Cerro Porteño?
Bolívar has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Porteño - Bolívar were as follows:
06.06.2023
Bolívar
-
Cerro Porteño
2:0
03.05.2023
Cerro Porteño
-
Bolívar
0:4
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Latest results of Bolívar
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 3 | Botafogo RJ | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 2 | Ind. del Valle | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LDU Quito | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 2 | Central Cordoba | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Flamengo RJ | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 4 | Dep. Tachira | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo ✔ | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Alianza Lima | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Bucaramanga | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:9 | -3 | 5 |
| 4 | Colo Colo | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:11 | -7 | 2 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bahia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Internacional | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 3 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Penarol | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | SA Bulo Bulo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sao Paulo is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Cerro Porteño - Bolívar?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | ESPN |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | ESPN, Inter |
 World | Disney+ |
