River Plate Montevideo vs Cerro Largo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Uruguayan Primera Division River Plate Montevideo - Cerro Largo
19/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
River Plate Montevideo - Cerro Largo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


River Plate Montevideo
31.9%
Draw
30%
Cerro Largo
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.1% 28.1% 45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7% 25.6% 41.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate Montevideo's performance.
  • Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cerro Largo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • River Plate Montevideo - Cerro Largo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.92
    (3.5)
    3.09
    (3.25)
    2.47
    (2)
    7%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 0.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Cerro Largo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Cerro Largo could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:29. (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate Montevideo - Cerro Largo were as follows:
    30.06.2025 Cerro Largo - River Plate Montevideo 2:2
    18.04.2025 Cerro Largo - River Plate Montevideo 1:0
    09.11.2024 Cerro Largo - River Plate Montevideo 1:0
    05.05.2024 River Plate Montevideo - Cerro Largo 2:3
    19.08.2023 River Plate Montevideo - Cerro Largo 0:0
    Latest results of Cerro Largo
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol1182123:91426
    2Nacional1173121:91221
    3Montevideo City1163221:13821
    4Boston River1155120:81220
    5Liverpool M1154215:12319
    6Defensor Sp116148:10-219
    7Progreso1152413:11217
    8Cerro Largo1152412:11117
    9CA Cerro115159:12-316
    10Danubio1142514:11314
    11Miramar1133515:16-112
    12Racing Montevideo113359:18-912
    13Juventud113266:10-411
    14River Plate111375:16-116
    15Wanderers111285:16-115
    16Plaza Colonia111287:21-145

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