Result
19/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
River Plate Montevideo
31.9% | Draw
30% | Cerro Largo
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate Montevideo's performance.Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cerro Largo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
River Plate Montevideo - Cerro Largo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.92 ↓
(3.5) |
3.09 ↓
(3.25) |
2.47 ↑
(2) |
7%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 0.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Cerro Largo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Cerro Largo could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:29. (average 1.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has River Plate Montevideo won against Cerro Largo?
River Plate Montevideo has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Largo won against River Plate Montevideo?
Cerro Largo has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate Montevideo - Cerro Largo were as follows:
30.06.2025
Cerro Largo
-
River Plate Montevideo
2:2
18.04.2025
Cerro Largo
-
River Plate Montevideo
1:0
09.11.2024
Cerro Largo
-
River Plate Montevideo
1:0
05.05.2024
River Plate Montevideo
-
Cerro Largo
2:3
19.08.2023
River Plate Montevideo
-
Cerro Largo
0:0
Latest results of River Plate Montevideo
Latest results of Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23:9 | 14 | 26 |
| 2 | Nacional | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Boston River | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20:8 | 12 | 20 |
| 5 | Liverpool M | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:12 | 3 | 19 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 19 |
| 7 | Progreso | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Cerro Largo | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | CA Cerro | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 9:12 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Danubio | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:11 | 3 | 14 |
| 11 | Miramar | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Racing Montevideo | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:18 | -9 | 12 |
| 13 | Juventud | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6:10 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | River Plate | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5:16 | -11 | 6 |
| 15 | Wanderers | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5:16 | -11 | 5 |
| 16 | Plaza Colonia | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7:21 | -14 | 5 |
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