Cerro Largo vs Montevideo Wanderers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Uruguayan Primera Division Cerro Largo - Montevideo Wanderers
12/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Cerro Largo - Montevideo Wanderers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Cerro Largo
40.3%
Draw
29.3%
Montevideo Wanderers
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 30.4% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 30.1% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Cerro Largo - Montevideo Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.37)
    3.13
    (3.03)
    3
    (3)
    8.6%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 7 and 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 1.
    • Recent form of Cerro Largo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Wanderers is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Cerro Largo has had a series of away games.
    • Cerro Largo could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:26. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Largo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Largo - Montevideo Wanderers were as follows:
    10.03.2025 Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro Largo 3:0
    18.11.2024 Cerro Largo - Montevideo Wanderers 4:0
    19.05.2024 Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro Largo 1:0
    14.10.2023 Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro Largo 1:1
    05.03.2023 Cerro Largo - Montevideo Wanderers 0:0
    Latest results of Cerro Largo
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Torneo Intermedio

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol32106:157
    2Wanderers32104:227
    3Defensor Sp32015:6-16
    4Liverpool M31203:215
    5CA Cerro31112:204
    6Plaza Colonia30212:4-22
    7Cerro Largo30124:6-21
    8River Plate30031:4-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Danubio33006:249
    2Nacional33005:239
    3Racing Montevideo32014:226
    4Juventud32017:616
    5Progreso31021:2-13
    6Boston River31024:6-23
    7Montevideo City30035:8-30
    8Miramar30030:4-40

          Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio ~ Play Offs: )

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