Cerro Largo vs Danubio: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Uruguayan Primera Division Cerro Largo - Danubio
Result
1:0
18/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 3
Cerro Largo - Danubio - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
51
Corner Kicks
28
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
109
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
58
Corner Kicks
28
Goalkeeper Saves
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Olivera E. , Anasco M. ,
  • 58', Romero S. 🟨,
  • 61', Perez A. 🟨,
  • 62', Fernandez S. , Peralta M. ,
  • 62', Nunez S. , Brandao G. ,
  • 63', Mir M. , Garcia M. ,
  • 63', Gabriel Rossetto , Medina F. ,
  • 63', Perez A. , Gallard J. ,
  • 65', Anasco M. 🟨,
  • 72', Velazquez E. 🟨,
  • 80', 1 - 0, Rossi F. ,
  • 83', Romero S. , Amaro J. ,
  • 83', Sanchez V. , Velazquez A. ,
  • 86', Mayada C. 🟨,
  • 86', Ferrares B. , Bertocchi N. ,
  • 90', Rossi F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cerro Largo
35.2%
Draw
31.6%
Danubio
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 28.8% 26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 28.6% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerro Largo's form might have worsened.
  • Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Danubio's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerro Largo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Danubio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cerro Largo - Danubio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.08)
    2.94
    (3.2)
    2.84
    (3.45)
    7.2%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Cerro Largo - Danubio?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cerro Largo will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Danubio will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cerro Largo: 11.9%76.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 1.
    • Cerro Largo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Danubio is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Cerro Largo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Cerro Largo has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1.1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Largo won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Largo - Danubio were as follows:
    06.03.2025 Cerro Largo - Danubio 3:2
    15.02.2025 Danubio - Cerro Largo 0:0
    20.10.2024 Cerro Largo - Danubio 0:0
    09.06.2024 Cerro Largo - Danubio 2:2
    20.04.2024 Danubio - Cerro Largo 1:1
    Latest results of Cerro Largo
    Latest results of Danubio
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol540112:4812
    2Boston River53209:3611
    3Montevideo City531113:8510
    4Liverpool M53116:3310
    5Cerro Largo53116:3310
    6Juventud53025:509
    7Defensor Sp53023:6-39
    8Nacional531111:657
    9Miramar52128:717
    10CA Cerro52125:417
    11Racing Montevideo52034:10-66
    12Danubio51134:6-24
    13Wanderers51132:4-24
    14Progreso51045:9-43
    15Plaza Colonia50143:10-71
    16River Plate50140:8-81

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    Which TV channels are streaming of Cerro Largo - Danubio?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    brazilBrazilDisney+
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    peruPeruDisney+
    russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
    south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
    uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
    usaUsaFanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
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