Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos
Result
1:0
11/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 16
Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.840.72
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
312
Passes
87% (461/529)86% (428/499)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.840.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.480.14
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
38
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
312
Touches in opposition box
2222
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
87% (461/529)86% (428/499)
Long passes
43% (17/40)46% (23/50)
Passes in final third
75% (70/93)74% (121/164)
Crosses
25% (3/12)23% (7/30)
Expected assists (xA)
1.640.85
Throw-ins
1118
Fouls
1313
Tackles
70% (7/10)90% (9/10)
Duels won
3936
Clearances
2917
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.141.48
Goals prevented
0.140.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Inoue K. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Rafael Ratao , Fernandes L. (A),
  • 41', Takahashi N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 64', Inoue K. , Miyaichi R. ,
  • 65', Uenaka A. 🟨,
  • 72', Tono D. , Kato R. ,
  • 76', Uejo S. , Kitano S. ,
  • 80', Deng T. , Walsh S. ,
  • 81', Kida T. , Yamane R. ,
  • 81', Anderson Lopes , Amano J. ,
  • 85', Rafael Ratao , Furuyama K. ,
  • 90+3', Furuyama K. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Fernandes L. , Funaki K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cerezo Osaka
42.8%
Draw
25.5%
Yokohama F. Marinos
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 26.3% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 26.4% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Cerezo Osaka have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.21)
    3.72
    (3.58)
    2.96
    (3.06)
    6%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Yokohama FM will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 1.
    • Recent performances by Cerezo Osaka have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Yokohama FM is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Cerezo Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Noguchi R. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Vitor Bueno (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Miyaichi R. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:24. (average 1.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:11. (average 2.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Cerezo Osaka 4:0
    27.04.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:2
    12.11.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos - Cerezo Osaka 2:0
    01.04.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:1
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers25152837:241347
    2Kashiwa Reysol25138435:231247
    3Vissel Kobe25144734:241046
    4Kyoto25136642:301245
    5Machida25134836:251143
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima25134829:181143
    7Urawa Reds25118634:25941
    8Kawasaki Frontale25108740:31938
    9Cerezo Osaka25107840:34637
    10Avispa Fukuoka2598826:25135
    11Gamba Osaka251041129:34-534
    12Okayama25961023:22133
    13Shimizu S-Pulse25871029:32-331
    14Verdy25871016:24-831
    15FC Tokyo25851227:35-829
    16Nagoya Grampus25771129:35-628
    17Shonan Bellmare25661320:39-1924
    18Yokohama F. Marinos25561423:33-1021
    19Yokohama FC25541615:32-1719
    20Albirex Niigata25471425:44-1919

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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