Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos
Result
1:0
11/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 16
Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.840.72
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
312
Passes
87% (461/529)86% (428/499)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.840.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.480.14
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
38
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
312
Touches in opposition box
2222
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
87% (461/529)86% (428/499)
Long passes
43% (17/40)46% (23/50)
Passes in final third
75% (70/93)74% (121/164)
Crosses
25% (3/12)23% (7/30)
Expected assists (xA)
1.640.85
Throw-ins
1118
Fouls
1313
Tackles
70% (7/10)90% (9/10)
Duels won
3936
Clearances
2917
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.141.48
Goals prevented
0.140.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Inoue K. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Rafael Ratao , Fernandes L. (A),
  • 41', Takahashi N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 64', Inoue K. , Miyaichi R. ,
  • 65', Uenaka A. 🟨,
  • 72', Tono D. , Kato R. ,
  • 76', Uejo S. , Kitano S. ,
  • 80', Deng T. , Walsh S. ,
  • 81', Kida T. , Yamane R. ,
  • 81', Anderson Lopes , Amano J. ,
  • 85', Rafael Ratao , Furuyama K. ,
  • 90+3', Furuyama K. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Fernandes L. , Funaki K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cerezo Osaka
42.8%
Draw
25.5%
Yokohama F. Marinos
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 26.3% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 26.4% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Cerezo Osaka have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.21)
    3.72
    (3.58)
    2.96
    (3.06)
    6%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Yokohama FM will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 1.
    • Recent performances by Cerezo Osaka have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Yokohama FM is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Cerezo Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Noguchi R. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Vitor Bueno (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Miyaichi R. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:24. (average 1.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:11. (average 2.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Cerezo Osaka 4:0
    27.04.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:2
    12.11.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos - Cerezo Osaka 2:0
    01.04.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:1
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kyoto28166652:302254
    2Kashiwa Reysol28158542:281453
    3Vissel Kobe29165837:261153
    4Kashima Antlers28164841:271452
    5Machida29155945:311450
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima29155934:201450
    7Urawa Reds28138739:30947
    8Kawasaki Frontale28129750:381245
    9Gamba Osaka291241338:44-640
    10Cerezo Osaka28109942:39339
    11Okayama281161126:28-239
    12Avispa Fukuoka28910928:28037
    13Shimizu S-Pulse28891131:36-533
    14Verdy28881216:28-1232
    15FC Tokyo28871330:42-1231
    16Nagoya Grampus28781334:42-829
    17Yokohama F. Marinos28671526:35-925
    18Shonan Bellmare28671526:47-2125
    19Yokohama FC28651718:35-1723
    20Albirex Niigata28481627:48-2120

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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