Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy
Result
2:1
21/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 21
Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.120.80
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
79
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
83% (365/438)88% (442/500)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.120.80
xG on target (xGOT)
1.260.23
Total shots
79
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2115
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
45
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
83% (365/438)88% (442/500)
Long passes
53% (26/49)40% (14/35)
Passes in final third
72% (113/158)80% (90/113)
Crosses
45% (5/11)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.600.77
Throw-ins
2713
Fouls
1211
Tackles
54% (7/13)79% (15/19)
Duels won
4550
Clearances
1823
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.231.26
Goals prevented
-0.77-0.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Rafael Ratao , Fernandes L. (A),
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Kawasaki S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Kida H. , Tanaka S. ,
  • 46', Vitor Bueno , Nakajima M. ,
  • 52', Thiago Andrade 🟨,
  • 59', Arai Y. , Kimura Y. ,
  • 59', Kawasaki S. , Saito K. ,
  • 62', 2 - 1, Thiago Andrade ,
  • 71', Fukuda Y. , Someno I. ,
  • 77', Hirakawa R. , Meshino S. ,
  • 77', Onaga H. , Kumatoriya I. ,
  • 77', Thiago Andrade , Homma S. ,
  • 90', Kagawa S. , Yoshino K. ,
  • 90+5', Rafael Ratao , Shibayama M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cerezo Osaka
45.6%
Draw
27.2%
Tokyo Verdy
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.7% 28.4% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 28.9% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.19)
    3.44
    (3.37)
    3.46
    (3.43)
    5.9%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Cerezo Osaka will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 3.
    • Cerezo Osaka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tokyo Verdy is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Cerezo Osaka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury) Uejo S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy were as follows:
    25.04.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Cerezo Osaka 1:0
    06.07.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Cerezo Osaka 1:1
    09.03.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy 2:1
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kyoto29167653:312255
    2Kashima Antlers29174844:271755
    3Kashiwa Reysol29159542:281454
    4Vissel Kobe30166837:261154
    5Machida30156946:321451
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima30156935:211451
    7Kawasaki Frontale29139753:381548
    8Urawa Reds29138839:31847
    9Gamba Osaka301341339:44-543
    10Cerezo Osaka29119946:41542
    11Okayama291161226:29-339
    12Avispa Fukuoka299101030:32-237
    13Shimizu S-Pulse29991132:36-436
    14FC Tokyo29971331:42-1134
    15Nagoya Grampus29881335:42-732
    16Verdy29881316:29-1332
    17Yokohama F. Marinos29671626:38-1225
    18Shonan Bellmare29671626:50-2425
    19Yokohama FC29661719:36-1724
    20Albirex Niigata29481727:49-2220

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy?
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