Tokyo Verdy vs Cerezo Osaka: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Tokyo Verdy - Cerezo Osaka
Result
1:0
25/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 12
Tokyo Verdy - Cerezo Osaka - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.152.01
Ball Possession
25%75%
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
72% (195/270)89% (732/826)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.152.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.711.92
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
911
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1330
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
714
Passes
72% (195/270)89% (732/826)
Long passes
31% (18/59)61% (33/54)
Passes in final third
58% (41/71)78% (187/241)
Crosses
23% (3/13)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.361.25
Throw-ins
925
Fouls
147
Tackles
55% (6/11)36% (5/14)
Duels won
3056
Clearances
2320
Interceptions
144
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
74
xGOT faced
1.920.71
Goals prevented
1.92-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 1', Fukuda Y. 🟨,
  • 7', Vitor Bueno , Kitano S. ,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Arai Y. , Onaga H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Thiago Andrade , Sakata R. ,
  • 53', Saito K. , Morita K. ,
  • 63', Noborizato K. , Takahashi N. ,
  • 63', Nakajima M. , Kagawa S. ,
  • 63', Fukuda Y. , Matsuhashi Y. ,
  • 63', Hirakawa R. , Meshino S. ,
  • 72', Onaga H. , Miyahara K. ,
  • 72', Yamami H. , Someno I. ,
  • 80', Nishio R. , Shibayama M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tokyo Verdy
32.2%
Draw
29.5%
Cerezo Osaka
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 28.7% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 30.5% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tokyo Verdy's form might have worsened.
  • Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tokyo Verdy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cerezo Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tokyo Verdy - Cerezo Osaka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.92
    (2.49)
    3.18
    (3.29)
    2.45
    (2.84)
    6.5%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy - Cerezo Osaka?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8%76.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 16 and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tokyo Verdy won 0.
    • Recent matches Tokyo Verdy is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Cerezo Osaka is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Sako M. (Knee Injury) Yamada G. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Hatanaka S. (Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Tokyo Verdy won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:9 (average 0.7:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tokyo Verdy won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Verdy - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:
    06.07.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Cerezo Osaka 1:1
    09.03.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy 2:1
    Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers20132530:161441
    2Kyoto20104630:22834
    3Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    4Kashiwa Reysol1997322:17534
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima19103621:15633
    6Kawasaki Frontale1988331:191232
    7Cerezo Osaka2186732:28430
    8Vissel Kobe1893623:19430
    9Machida2084824:24028
    10Shimizu S-Pulse1974826:26025
    11Okayama1966716:17-124
    12Gamba Osaka1973923:27-424
    13Verdy1966713:18-524
    14Nagoya Grampus1965824:26-223
    15Avispa Fukuoka1965815:19-423
    16Shonan Bellmare20641015:25-1022
    17FC Tokyo1955919:28-920
    18Yokohama FC20541113:21-819
    19Albirex Niigata1837819:27-816
    20Yokohama F. Marinos18351018:26-814

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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