Shonan Bellmare vs Cerezo Osaka: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Shonan Bellmare - Cerezo Osaka
Result
3:3
19/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 24
Shonan Bellmare - Cerezo Osaka - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.261.83
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1422
Shots on target
67
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
79% (299/378)85% (446/524)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.261.83
xG on target (xGOT)
2.992.69
Total shots
1422
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
48
Shots inside the Box
814
Shots outside the Box
68
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
2539
Accurate through passes
03
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
79% (299/378)85% (446/524)
Long passes
50% (26/52)50% (33/66)
Passes in final third
69% (100/145)78% (145/187)
Crosses
14% (2/14)26% (7/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.971.81
Throw-ins
2124
Fouls
1311
Tackles
64% (9/14)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4447
Clearances
3818
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
2.692.99
Goals prevented
-0.31-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Fernandes L. , Rafael Ratao (A),
  • 14', 1 - 1, Suzuki A. , Onose K. (A),
  • 42', 2 - 1, Hiraoka T. , Suzuki A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 47', 2 - 2, Rafael Ratao ,
  • 52', Nishio R. 🟨,
  • 67', Okuno K. , Matsumoto H. ,
  • 71', Cools D. , Nakamura T. ,
  • 73', 2 - 3, Thiago Andrade , Kagawa S. (A),
  • 74', Hiraoka T. , Oda Y. ,
  • 75', Suzuki A. , Luiz Phellype ,
  • 75', Onose K. , Ikeda M. ,
  • 79', Ota S. , Ishibashi S. ,
  • 82', Thiago Andrade , Homma S. ,
  • 82', Rafael Ratao , Nakajima M. ,
  • 89', 3 - 3, Luiz Phellype (Pen),
  • 90', Kagawa S. , Shibayama M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shonan Bellmare
25.9%
Draw
25.7%
Cerezo Osaka
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.3% 26.3% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8% 25.1% 42.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shonan Bellmare's form might have worsened.
  • Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cerezo Osaka's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shonan Bellmare, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cerezo Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Shonan Bellmare - Cerezo Osaka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.6
    (2.77)
    3.66
    (3.51)
    1.98
    (2.28)
    5.5%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Cerezo Osaka?
  • Users Predictions: Cerezo Osaka will win (20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.42%98.24%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cerezo Osaka will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 3.
    • Shonan Bellmare has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cerezo Osaka is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • Cerezo Osaka will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Matsumoto K. (Inactive) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury) Uejo S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Takahashi N. (Injury) Ze Ricardo (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Takahashi N. (Foot Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:27. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 1:2
    22.09.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Cerezo Osaka 1:2
    30.03.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 2:0
    30.09.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 0:2
    02.08.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 1:2
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kyoto27156647:301751
    2Kashima Antlers27163840:261451
    3Machida28155842:261650
    4Kashiwa Reysol27148540:271350
    5Vissel Kobe28155836:261050
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima28154933:191449
    7Urawa Reds27128738:30844
    8Kawasaki Frontale27119745:351042
    9Okayama271161026:23339
    10Cerezo Osaka27108941:38338
    11Avispa Fukuoka27910827:26137
    12Gamba Osaka281141333:40-737
    13Shimizu S-Pulse27881130:35-532
    14Verdy27871216:28-1231
    15FC Tokyo27861329:41-1230
    16Nagoya Grampus27771333:41-828
    17Yokohama F. Marinos27671426:34-825
    18Shonan Bellmare27671422:42-2025
    19Yokohama FC27641718:35-1722
    20Albirex Niigata27481527:47-2020

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Shonan Bellmare - Cerezo Osaka?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
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