Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse
Result
4:2
01/06/2025 at 02:03 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 19
Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.270.92
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
123
Passes
77% (317/411)87% (371/427)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.270.92
xG on target (xGOT)
3.540.92
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
21
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
123
Touches in opposition box
2716
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1219
Passes
77% (317/411)87% (371/427)
Long passes
41% (24/59)49% (21/43)
Passes in final third
55% (80/145)76% (97/128)
Crosses
38% (8/21)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.92
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
1912
Tackles
59% (10/17)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4353
Clearances
1628
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.923.54
Goals prevented
-1.08-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Yamahara R. ,
  • 10', Kitano S. (Pen),
  • 13', 1 - 1, Takahashi N. , Fernandes L. (A),
  • 18', 2 - 1, Nakajima M. , Fernandes L. (A),
  • 25', Kitagawa K. , Yajima S. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Matsuzaki K. , Nakahara H. ,
  • 46', Sumiyoshi J. , Hasukawa S. ,
  • 54', 3 - 1, Rafael Ratao ,
  • 64', Takahashi Y. 🟨,
  • 68', Uno Z. , Kozuka K. ,
  • 70', 4 - 1, Fernandes L. , Kitano S. (A),
  • 73', Thiago Andrade , Sakata R. ,
  • 73', Capixaba , Gunji R. ,
  • 77', Rafael Ratao 🟨,
  • 83', Nakajima M. , Kagawa S. ,
  • 83', Sakata R. , Shibayama M. ,
  • 89', 4 - 2, Gunji R. ,
  • 90+4', Kitano S. , Uejo S. ,
  • 90+4', Rafael Ratao , Furuyama K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cerezo Osaka
39.2%
Draw
26.4%
Shimizu S-Pulse
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 27.4% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 27.3% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.29)
    3.55
    (3.48)
    2.73
    (3.07)
    6.4%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 2.
    • Cerezo Osaka is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shimizu is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Cerezo Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury) Homma S. (Injury) Tanaka S. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:29. (average 1.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:11. (average 2.3:1.1).
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers32204852:282464
    2Vissel Kobe32186843:271660
    3Kyoto32178756:342259
    4Kashiwa Reysol321512547:331457
    5Machida32167948:331555
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima32167937:221555
    7Kawasaki Frontale321410859:441552
    8Urawa Reds321310939:32749
    9Gamba Osaka321541346:47-149
    10Cerezo Osaka3211101149:47243
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3210101234:38-440
    12Okayama321171428:34-640
    13FC Tokyo321171435:45-1040
    14Avispa Fukuoka329101331:37-637
    15Nagoya Grampus32991438:47-936
    16Verdy32991420:35-1536
    17Yokohama F. Marinos32871732:43-1131
    18Yokohama FC32871721:36-1531
    19Shonan Bellmare32671928:56-2825
    20Albirex Niigata32491929:54-2521

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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