Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse
Result
4:2
01/06/2025 at 02:03 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 19
Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.270.92
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
123
Passes
77% (317/411)87% (371/427)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.270.92
xG on target (xGOT)
3.540.92
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
21
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
123
Touches in opposition box
2716
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1219
Passes
77% (317/411)87% (371/427)
Long passes
41% (24/59)49% (21/43)
Passes in final third
55% (80/145)76% (97/128)
Crosses
38% (8/21)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.92
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
1912
Tackles
59% (10/17)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4353
Clearances
1628
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.923.54
Goals prevented
-1.08-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Yamahara R. ,
  • 10', Kitano S. (Pen),
  • 13', 1 - 1, Takahashi N. , Fernandes L. (A),
  • 18', 2 - 1, Nakajima M. , Fernandes L. (A),
  • 25', Kitagawa K. , Yajima S. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Matsuzaki K. , Nakahara H. ,
  • 46', Sumiyoshi J. , Hasukawa S. ,
  • 54', 3 - 1, Rafael Ratao ,
  • 64', Takahashi Y. 🟨,
  • 68', Uno Z. , Kozuka K. ,
  • 70', 4 - 1, Fernandes L. , Kitano S. (A),
  • 73', Thiago Andrade , Sakata R. ,
  • 73', Capixaba , Gunji R. ,
  • 77', Rafael Ratao 🟨,
  • 83', Nakajima M. , Kagawa S. ,
  • 83', Sakata R. , Shibayama M. ,
  • 89', 4 - 2, Gunji R. ,
  • 90+4', Kitano S. , Uejo S. ,
  • 90+4', Rafael Ratao , Furuyama K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cerezo Osaka
39.2%
Draw
26.4%
Shimizu S-Pulse
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 27.4% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 27.3% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.29)
    3.55
    (3.48)
    2.73
    (3.07)
    6.4%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 2.
    • Cerezo Osaka is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shimizu is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Cerezo Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury) Homma S. (Injury) Tanaka S. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:29. (average 1.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:11. (average 2.3:1.1).
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers22132732:201241
    2Kashiwa Reysol22118330:201041
    3Vissel Kobe22124628:21740
    4Kyoto22115636:261038
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima22113826:18836
    6Kawasaki Frontale2298535:231235
    7Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    8Machida22104830:25534
    9Cerezo Osaka2296734:29533
    10Okayama2286819:19030
    11Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    12Gamba Osaka22841026:30-428
    13Nagoya Grampus2276928:30-227
    14Shimizu S-Pulse2276927:29-227
    15Verdy2276915:23-827
    16FC Tokyo22751024:31-726
    17Shonan Bellmare21651016:26-1023
    18Yokohama FC22541314:27-1319
    19Albirex Niigata22471123:37-1419
    20Yokohama F. Marinos22361319:32-1315

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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