Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

01/06/2025 at 02:03 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Yodoko Sakura Stadium (Osaka).

: J1 League - Round 19

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.27	0.92
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
19	13
Shots on target
8	4
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
12	3
Passes
77% (317/411)	87% (371/427)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27	0.92
xG on target (xGOT)
3.54	0.92
Total shots
19	13
Shots on target
8	4
Shots off target
7	5
Blocked Shots
4	4
Shots inside the Box
11	8
Shots outside the Box
8	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
2	1
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
12	3
Touches in opposition box
27	16
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
4	2
Free Kicks
12	19
Passes
77% (317/411)	87% (371/427)
Long passes
41% (24/59)	49% (21/43)
Passes in final third
55% (80/145)	76% (97/128)
Crosses
38% (8/21)	16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.29	0.92
Throw-ins
17	17
Fouls
19	12
Tackles
59% (10/17)	71% (12/17)
Duels won
43	53
Clearances
16	28
Interceptions
10	9
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.92	3.54
Goals prevented
-1.08	-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Yamahara R. ⚽,
10', Kitano S. (Pen),
13', 1 - 1, Takahashi N. ⚽, Fernandes L. (A),
18', 2 - 1, Nakajima M. ⚽, Fernandes L. (A),
25', Kitagawa K. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
46', Sumiyoshi J. ↓, Hasukawa S. ↑,
54', 3 - 1, Rafael Ratao ⚽,
64', Takahashi Y. 🟨,
68', Uno Z. ↓, Kozuka K. ↑,
70', 4 - 1, Fernandes L. ⚽, Kitano S. (A),
73', Thiago Andrade ↓, Sakata R. ↑,
73', Capixaba ↓, Gunji R. ↑,
77', Rafael Ratao 🟨,
83', Nakajima M. ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
83', Sakata R. ↓, Shibayama M. ↑,
89', 4 - 2, Gunji R. ⚽,
90+4', Kitano S. ↓, Uejo S. ↑,
90+4', Rafael Ratao ↓, Furuyama K. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cerezo Osaka
39.2%

Draw
26.4%

Shimizu S-Pulse
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

27.4%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

27.3%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.29)	3.55 ↑ (3.48)	2.73 ↓ (3.07)	6.4% (5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 2.
Cerezo Osaka is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Shimizu is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Cerezo Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury) Homma S. (Injury) Tanaka S. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:29. (average 1.7:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:11. (average 2.3:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Shimizu S-Pulse?

Cerezo Osaka has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Cerezo Osaka?

Shimizu S-Pulse has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:

Latest results of Cerezo Osaka

28.05.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Cerezo Osaka 0:0 ✺

24.05.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka 2:0 ✺

21.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka 1:4 ✺

18.05.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Cerezo Osaka 2:0 ✺

11.05.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse

25.05.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Vissel Kobe 3:2 ✺

17.05.2025 Kashima Antlers - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:0 ✺

11.05.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Machida Zelvia 2:2 ✺

06.05.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:0 ✺

03.05.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Nagoya Grampus 0:3 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	34	20	6	8	52:28	24	66
2	Kashiwa Reysol	34	17	12	5	53:33	20	63
3	Vissel Kobe	34	18	7	9	43:28	15	61
4	Kyoto	33	17	9	7	57:35	22	60
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	34	17	8	9	39:23	16	59
6	Kawasaki Frontale	34	15	11	8	65:48	17	56
7	Machida	34	16	8	10	49:35	14	56
8	Urawa Reds	34	14	10	10	40:36	4	52
9	Gamba Osaka	34	15	5	14	46:52	-6	50
10	Cerezo Osaka	34	12	10	12	52:50	2	46
11	FC Tokyo	34	11	9	14	36:46	-10	42
12	Verdy	34	11	9	14	22:35	-13	42
13	Avispa Fukuoka	34	10	11	13	32:37	-5	41
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	34	10	11	13	38:44	-6	41
15	Okayama	34	11	8	15	30:37	-7	41
16	Nagoya Grampus	34	10	10	14	42:50	-8	40
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	34	9	7	18	36:44	-8	34
18	Yokohama FC	34	8	8	18	23:39	-16	32
19	Shonan Bellmare	33	6	7	20	28:57	-29	25
20	Albirex Niigata	34	4	10	20	30:56	-26	22

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	Optus Sport
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	PSJ TV
Japan	DAZN Japan