Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse
Result
4:2
01/06/2025 at 02:03 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 19
Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.270.92
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
123
Passes
77% (317/411)87% (371/427)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.270.92
xG on target (xGOT)
3.540.92
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
21
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
123
Touches in opposition box
2716
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1219
Passes
77% (317/411)87% (371/427)
Long passes
41% (24/59)49% (21/43)
Passes in final third
55% (80/145)76% (97/128)
Crosses
38% (8/21)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.92
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
1912
Tackles
59% (10/17)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4353
Clearances
1628
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.923.54
Goals prevented
-1.08-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Yamahara R. ,
  • 10', Kitano S. (Pen),
  • 13', 1 - 1, Takahashi N. , Fernandes L. (A),
  • 18', 2 - 1, Nakajima M. , Fernandes L. (A),
  • 25', Kitagawa K. , Yajima S. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Matsuzaki K. , Nakahara H. ,
  • 46', Sumiyoshi J. , Hasukawa S. ,
  • 54', 3 - 1, Rafael Ratao ,
  • 64', Takahashi Y. 🟨,
  • 68', Uno Z. , Kozuka K. ,
  • 70', 4 - 1, Fernandes L. , Kitano S. (A),
  • 73', Thiago Andrade , Sakata R. ,
  • 73', Capixaba , Gunji R. ,
  • 77', Rafael Ratao 🟨,
  • 83', Nakajima M. , Kagawa S. ,
  • 83', Sakata R. , Shibayama M. ,
  • 89', 4 - 2, Gunji R. ,
  • 90+4', Kitano S. , Uejo S. ,
  • 90+4', Rafael Ratao , Furuyama K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cerezo Osaka
39.2%
Draw
26.4%
Shimizu S-Pulse
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 27.4% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 27.3% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.29)
    3.55
    (3.48)
    2.73
    (3.07)
    6.4%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 2.
    • Cerezo Osaka is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shimizu is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Cerezo Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury) Homma S. (Injury) Tanaka S. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:29. (average 1.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:11. (average 2.3:1.1).
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers19131529:151440
    2Kyoto20104630:22834
    3Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    4Kashiwa Reysol1997322:17534
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima18102620:14632
    6Vissel Kobe1893623:19430
    7Kawasaki Frontale1878330:191129
    8Cerezo Osaka2085730:26429
    9Shimizu S-Pulse1974826:26025
    10Machida1974822:23-125
    11Okayama1966716:17-124
    12Gamba Osaka1973923:27-424
    13Verdy1966713:18-524
    14Nagoya Grampus1965824:26-223
    15Avispa Fukuoka1965815:19-423
    16Shonan Bellmare1964914:23-922
    17Yokohama FC19541013:20-719
    18FC Tokyo1854917:26-919
    19Albirex Niigata1837819:27-816
    20Yokohama F. Marinos18351018:26-814

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse?
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