Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka
Result
2:1
06/04/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 9
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.48
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
81% (376/464)81% (388/481)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.48
xG on target (xGOT)
1.961.19
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
510
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2727
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
910
Passes
81% (376/464)81% (388/481)
Long passes
46% (35/76)29% (14/48)
Passes in final third
66% (99/151)74% (96/130)
Crosses
18% (2/11)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.521.40
Fouls
109
Tackles
41% (9/22)78% (18/23)
Duels won
5156
Clearances Total
1327
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.191.96
Goals prevented
0.19-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', Sasaki S. 🟨,
  • 15', 0 - 1, Fernandes L. , Kitano S. (A),
  • 18', 1 - 1, Arai N. , Germain R. (A),
  • 22', Rafael Ratao 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Germain V. , Nakamura S. ,
  • 46', Arai N. , Shiotani T. ,
  • 56', Noborizato K. , Takahashi N. ,
  • 57', Suga D. 🟨,
  • 58', Suga D. , Higashi S. ,
  • 62', Fernandes L. , Homma S. ,
  • 62', Thiago Andrade , Shibayama M. ,
  • 66', Maeda N. , Kato M. ,
  • 80', Nakano S. 🟨,
  • 80', Rafael Ratao , Kida H. ,
  • 80', Kitano S. , Vitor Bueno ,
  • 86', 2 - 1, Araki H. , Nakamura S. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Sanfrecce Hiroshima
55.7%
Draw
24.7%
Cerezo Osaka
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.5% 24% 17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 23.2% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.61)
    3.78
    (3.92)
    4.72
    (5.36)
    6.6%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win! (7 of 8 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Hiroshima won 3.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • In this match Hiroshima is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Knee Injury) Kawanami G. (Hand Injury)
    • There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hiroshima: Nakajima Y. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Hatanaka S. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Hiroshima won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:17 (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Hiroshima won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:8 (average 0.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:
    11.08.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka 2:0
    26.05.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1
    21.10.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka 0:0
    22.10.2022 Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:2
    07.09.2022 Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:2
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers17121427:121537
    2Kashiwa Reysol1796220:13733
    3Kyoto1894527:21631
    4Urawa Reds1785421:15629
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima1692516:12429
    6Kawasaki Frontale1566324:141024
    7Machida1773720:18224
    8Vissel Kobe1573516:14224
    9Gamba Osaka1772821:24-323
    10Shimizu S-Pulse1764721:20122
    11Cerezo Osaka1764724:24022
    12Okayama1764713:14-122
    13Avispa Fukuoka1764715:17-222
    14Shonan Bellmare1763812:20-821
    15Verdy1755712:18-620
    16FC Tokyo1654717:20-319
    17Yokohama FC1753911:17-618
    18Nagoya Grampus1745819:25-617
    19Albirex Niigata1627717:23-613
    20Yokohama F. Marinos1515911:23-128

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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