Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka
Result
2:1
06/04/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 9
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.48
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
81% (376/464)81% (388/481)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.48
xG on target (xGOT)
1.961.19
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
510
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2727
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
910
Passes
81% (376/464)81% (388/481)
Long passes
46% (35/76)29% (14/48)
Passes in final third
66% (99/151)74% (96/130)
Crosses
18% (2/11)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.521.40
Fouls
109
Tackles
41% (9/22)78% (18/23)
Duels won
5156
Clearances Total
1327
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.191.96
Goals prevented
0.19-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', Sasaki S. 🟨,
  • 15', 0 - 1, Fernandes L. , Kitano S. (A),
  • 18', 1 - 1, Arai N. , Germain R. (A),
  • 22', Rafael Ratao 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Germain V. , Nakamura S. ,
  • 46', Arai N. , Shiotani T. ,
  • 56', Noborizato K. , Takahashi N. ,
  • 57', Suga D. 🟨,
  • 58', Suga D. , Higashi S. ,
  • 62', Fernandes L. , Homma S. ,
  • 62', Thiago Andrade , Shibayama M. ,
  • 66', Maeda N. , Kato M. ,
  • 80', Nakano S. 🟨,
  • 80', Rafael Ratao , Kida H. ,
  • 80', Kitano S. , Vitor Bueno ,
  • 86', 2 - 1, Araki H. , Nakamura S. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Sanfrecce Hiroshima
55.7%
Draw
24.7%
Cerezo Osaka
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.5% 24% 17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 23.2% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.61)
    3.78
    (3.92)
    4.72
    (5.36)
    6.6%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Hiroshima won 3.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • In this match Hiroshima is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Knee Injury) Kawanami G. (Hand Injury)
    • There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hiroshima: Nakajima Y. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Hatanaka S. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Hiroshima won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:17 (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Hiroshima won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:8 (average 0.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:
    11.08.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka 2:0
    26.05.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1
    21.10.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka 0:0
    22.10.2022 Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:2
    07.09.2022 Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:2
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashiwa Reysol23128331:201144
    2Vissel Kobe23134632:211143
    3Kyoto23125638:271141
    4Kashima Antlers23132833:221141
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima23123827:18939
    6Kawasaki Frontale23108537:241338
    7Machida23114833:25837
    8Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    9Cerezo Osaka2396834:30433
    10Gamba Osaka23941027:30-331
    11Okayama2386919:20-130
    12Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    13Nagoya Grampus2377928:30-228
    14Verdy2377915:23-828
    15Shimizu S-Pulse23761027:32-527
    16FC Tokyo23751124:32-826
    17Shonan Bellmare22651116:30-1423
    18Yokohama FC23541414:28-1419
    19Albirex Niigata23471224:39-1519
    20Yokohama F. Marinos23461320:32-1218

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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