Kawasaki Frontale vs Cerezo Osaka: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

18/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium (Kawasaki).

: J1 League - Round 17

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.46	0.81
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
6	0
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
5	3
Passes
88% (460/524)	87% (528/607)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46	0.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.19	0.61
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
6	0
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked Shots
4	6
Shots inside the Box
11	7
Shots outside the Box
5	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
23	28
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
8	8
Passes
88% (460/524)	87% (528/607)
Long passes
36% (12/33)	55% (26/47)
Passes in final third
80% (126/158)	83% (165/198)
Crosses
20% (3/15)	17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.94	1.01
Throw-ins
22	16
Fouls
8	8
Tackles
89% (8/9)	71% (10/14)
Duels won
33	39
Clearances
19	20
Interceptions
12	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	4
xGOT faced
0.61	1.19
Goals prevented
0.61	-0.81

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Sasaki A. 🟨,
57', Kida H. ↓, Nakajima M. ↑,
57', Uejo S. ↓, Kitano S. ↑,
60', Ienaga A. ↓, Ito T. ↑,
61', Marcinho ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
66', Yamada S. ↓, Erison ↑,
80', Wakizaka Y. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
80', Kawahara S. ↓, Tachibanada K. ↑,
84', Rafael Ratao ↓, Thiago Andrade ↑,
84', Okuda H. ↓, Sakata R. ↑,
85', 1 - 0, Erison ⚽, Segawa Y. (A),
87', Nishio R. ↓, Shibayama M. ↑,
88', 2 - 0, Erison ⚽, Maruyama Y. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Kawasaki Frontale
51.6%

Draw
24.6%

Cerezo Osaka
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

24.8%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

24.4%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Kawasaki Frontale - Cerezo Osaka Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.79)	3.8 ↓ (3.82)	3.89 ↓ (4.23)	6.2% (5.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale - Cerezo Osaka?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kawasaki will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 41.6% – 98.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Kawasaki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Kawasaki is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury) Homma S. (Injury) Tanaka S. (Injury) Vitor Bueno (Inactive)
There are questionable in Kawasaki: Jesiel (Hamstring Injury) Kobayashi Y. (Injury) Kurumaya S. (Muscle Injury) Lee G. (Knee Injury) Miura S. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 32:35. (average 1.6:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Kawasaki won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 2.1:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Cerezo Osaka?

Kawasaki Frontale has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Kawasaki Frontale?

Cerezo Osaka has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kawasaki Frontale - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:

14.07.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Cerezo Osaka 1:1

13.04.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale 1:0

02.09.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale 3:0

18.03.2023 Kawasaki Frontale - Cerezo Osaka 0:0

Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale

14.05.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama FC 2:1 ✺

11.05.2025 Kashima Antlers - Kawasaki Frontale 2:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Kawasaki Frontale 2:0 ✺

30.04.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Kawasaki Frontale 2:3 ✺

27.04.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Al-Sadd 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Cerezo Osaka

11.05.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0 ✺

06.05.2025 Vissel Kobe - Cerezo Osaka 1:3 ✺

03.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka 2:3 ✺

29.04.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Machida Zelvia 1:2 ✺

25.04.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Cerezo Osaka 1:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashiwa Reysol	23	12	8	3	31:20	11	44
2	Vissel Kobe	23	13	4	6	32:21	11	43
3	Kyoto	23	12	5	6	38:27	11	41
4	Kashima Antlers	23	13	2	8	33:22	11	41
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	23	12	3	8	27:18	9	39
6	Kawasaki Frontale	23	10	8	5	37:24	13	38
7	Machida	23	11	4	8	33:25	8	37
8	Urawa Reds	21	9	7	5	26:20	6	34
9	Cerezo Osaka	23	9	6	8	34:30	4	33
10	Gamba Osaka	23	9	4	10	27:30	-3	31
11	Okayama	23	8	6	9	19:20	-1	30
12	Avispa Fukuoka	22	8	6	8	19:21	-2	30
13	Nagoya Grampus	23	7	7	9	28:30	-2	28
14	Verdy	23	7	7	9	15:23	-8	28
15	Shimizu S-Pulse	23	7	6	10	27:32	-5	27
16	FC Tokyo	23	7	5	11	24:32	-8	26
17	Shonan Bellmare	22	6	5	11	16:30	-14	23
18	Yokohama FC	23	5	4	14	14:28	-14	19
19	Albirex Niigata	23	4	7	12	24:39	-15	19
20	Yokohama F. Marinos	23	4	6	13	20:32	-12	18

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Kawasaki Frontale - Cerezo Osaka?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	QQ Sports
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	PSJ TV
Japan	DAZN Japan
Vietnam	HTV Thể Thao, K+, TV 360