Cerezo Osaka vs Kashima Antlers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Cerezo Osaka - Kashima Antlers
Result
1:0
12/04/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 10
Cerezo Osaka - Kashima Antlers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.030.24
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
145
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
87% (506/582)72% (222/307)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.030.24
xG on target (xGOT)
2.440.04
Total shots
145
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
377
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
178
Passes
87% (506/582)72% (222/307)
Long passes
53% (24/45)37% (17/46)
Passes in final third
73% (122/166)62% (59/95)
Crosses
15% (4/26)11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.28
Fouls
817
Tackles
60% (9/15)74% (17/23)
Duels won
5360
Clearances Total
2139
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.042.44
Goals prevented
0.041.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Morooka S. 🟨,
  • 34', Kitano S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 65', Suzuki Y. , Cavric A. ,
  • 65', Matsumura Y. , Talles Brener ,
  • 71', Morooka S. , Araki R. ,
  • 72', Higuchi Y. , Chinen K. ,
  • 80', Thiago Andrade , Homma S. ,
  • 81', Tsukui K. , Sato M. ,
  • 85', Leo Ceara 🟨,
  • 89', Kitano S. , Kagawa S. ,
  • 90+9', Rafael Ratao (Pen),
  • 90+13', 1 - 0, Shindo R. ,
  • 90+14', Fernandes L. , Sakata R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cerezo Osaka
40.1%
Draw
26.9%
Kashima Antlers
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 28.1% 33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 28.2% 34%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Cerezo Osaka - Kashima Antlers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.46)
    3.45
    (3.33)
    2.85
    (2.76)
    7.1%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Kashima Antlers?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Kashima will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 4).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerezo Osaka won 0.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Kashima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hatanaka S. (Injury) Hirano Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Kashima: Shimoda Y. (Inactive) Tokuda H. (Inactive)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Cerezo Osaka won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 13:31 (average 0.7:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cerezo Osaka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 4:21 (average 0.4:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Kashima Antlers were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Kashima Antlers 0:2
    02.03.2024 Kashima Antlers - Cerezo Osaka 1:1
    16.09.2023 Kashima Antlers - Cerezo Osaka 1:0
    07.05.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Kashima Antlers 0:1
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    Latest results of Kashima Antlers
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kyoto27156647:301751
    2Kashima Antlers27163840:261451
    3Machida28155842:261650
    4Kashiwa Reysol27148540:271350
    5Vissel Kobe28155836:261050
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima28154933:191449
    7Urawa Reds27128738:30844
    8Kawasaki Frontale27119745:351042
    9Okayama271161026:23339
    10Cerezo Osaka27108941:38338
    11Avispa Fukuoka27910827:26137
    12Gamba Osaka281141333:40-737
    13Shimizu S-Pulse27881130:35-532
    14Verdy27871216:28-1231
    15FC Tokyo27861329:41-1230
    16Nagoya Grampus27771333:41-828
    17Yokohama F. Marinos27671426:34-825
    18Shonan Bellmare27671422:42-2025
    19Yokohama FC27641718:35-1722
    20Albirex Niigata27481527:47-2020

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Cerezo Osaka - Kashima Antlers?
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