Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama
Result
2:1
02/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 8
Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.221.16
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
81% (314/390)79% (330/416)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.221.16
xG on target (xGOT)
1.681.24
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1922
Through passes
0% (0/1)100% (1/1)
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
81% (314/390)79% (330/416)
Long passes
38% (21/56)40% (17/42)
Passes in final third
66% (71/107)63% (75/119)
Crosses
40% (4/10)22% (6/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.450.74
Fouls
1212
Tackles
67% (10/15)70% (14/20)
Duels won
4557
Clearances Total
3819
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.241.68
Goals prevented
0.24-0.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Thiago Andrade , Rafael Ratao (A),
  • 40', Hatanaka S. , Nishio R. ,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Sato R. , Kato H. (A),
  • 45+2', Kudo K. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 2 - 1, Rafael Ratao , Fernandes L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Iwabuchi H. , Kimura T. ,
  • 57', Fujita I. , Kamiya Yuta ,
  • 59', Thiago Andrade , Shibayama M. ,
  • 59', Nakajima M. , Kida H. ,
  • 64', Kato H. , Matsumoto M. ,
  • 65', Lucao , Browne N. ,
  • 76', Esaka A. , Ichimi K. ,
  • 84', Noborizato K. , Takahashi N. ,
  • 85', Rafael Ratao , Kagawa S. ,
  • 90+3', Fukui K. , Kim Jin-Hyeon ,
  • 90+4', Tabei R. , Abe K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cerezo Osaka
43.7%
Draw
27.5%
Fagiano Okayama
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.7% 28.4% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 28.2% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Cerezo Osaka have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.15)
    3.39
    (3.31)
    3.25
    (3.37)
    6.7%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 and 6).
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Cerezo Osaka will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Thiago Andrade (Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerezo Osaka won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.4:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cerezo Osaka won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers17121427:121537
    2Kashiwa Reysol1796220:13733
    3Kyoto1894527:21631
    4Urawa Reds1785421:15629
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima1692516:12429
    6Kawasaki Frontale1566324:141024
    7Machida1773720:18224
    8Vissel Kobe1573516:14224
    9Gamba Osaka1772821:24-323
    10Shimizu S-Pulse1764721:20122
    11Cerezo Osaka1764724:24022
    12Okayama1764713:14-122
    13Avispa Fukuoka1764715:17-222
    14Shonan Bellmare1763812:20-821
    15Verdy1755712:18-620
    16FC Tokyo1654717:20-319
    17Yokohama FC1753911:17-618
    18Nagoya Grampus1745819:25-617
    19Albirex Niigata1627717:23-613
    20Yokohama F. Marinos1515911:23-128

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    chinaChinaQQ Sports
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
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