Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

24/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Yodoko Sakura Stadium (Osaka).

: J1 League - Round 18

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.90	0.96
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
14	13
Shots on target
8	4
Big Chances
5	3
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
84% (448/533)	75% (257/344)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90	0.96
xG on target (xGOT)
3.11	0.54
Total shots
14	13
Shots on target
8	4
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
10	4
Shots outside the Box
4	9
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
5	3
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
28	20
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
19	11
Passes
84% (448/533)	75% (257/344)
Long passes
24% (10/42)	27% (12/45)
Passes in final third
70% (86/122)	65% (100/155)
Crosses
36% (4/11)	16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.44	0.65
Throw-ins
22	22
Fouls
11	19
Tackles
71% (5/7)	56% (10/18)
Duels won
51	48
Clearances
37	21
Interceptions
8	14
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
4	6
xGOT faced
0.54	3.11
Goals prevented
0.54	1.11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Tashiro M. 🟨,
33', Matsuoka D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Tashiro M. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
46', Nishio R. ↓, Sakata R. ↑,
50', Maejima Y. 🟨,
53', Fernandes L. 🟨,
64', Kitano S. 🟨,
67', Kitano S. ↓, Shibayama M. ↑,
67', Kida H. ↓, Nakajima M. ↑,
68', Fujimoto K. ↓, Shigemi M. ↑,
68', Maejima Y. ↓, Yuzawa M. ↑,
75', Kagawa S. 🟨,
79', Kagawa S. ↓, Uejo S. ↑,
79', Konno K. ↓, Maeda I. ↑,
84', 1 - 0, Shibayama M. ⚽, Nakajima M. (A),
86', Shichi T. ↓, Wellington ↑,
90+3', Fernandes L. ↓, Funaki K. ↑,
90+8', 2 - 0, Rafael Ratao ⚽, Sakata R. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cerezo Osaka
42.8%

Draw
29%

Avispa Fukuoka
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

28.7%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Cerezo Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.31)	3.24 ↓ (3.26)	3.34 ↑ (3.13)	6.3% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerezo Osaka: 60.6% – 97.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cerezo Osaka will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 3.
Cerezo Osaka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Avispa Fukuoka is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Cerezo Osaka has had a series of away games.
Cerezo Osaka could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury) Homma S. (Injury) Tanaka S. (Injury)
There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Hisashi J. (Knee Injury) Ikeda J. (Knee Injury) Oda I. (Knee Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Avispa Fukuoka?

Cerezo Osaka has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Cerezo Osaka?

Avispa Fukuoka has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:

09.11.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka 1:0

18.05.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka 0:3

30.06.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1

25.02.2023 Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka 2:1

Latest results of Cerezo Osaka

21.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka 1:4 ✺

18.05.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Cerezo Osaka 2:0 ✺

11.05.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0 ✺

06.05.2025 Vissel Kobe - Cerezo Osaka 1:3 ✺

03.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka

21.05.2025 Kataller Toyama - Avispa Fukuoka 1:2 ✺

17.05.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus 1:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Yokohama FC - Avispa Fukuoka 1:0 ✺

06.05.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Kashima Antlers 0:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Avispa Fukuoka 2:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kyoto	27	15	6	6	47:30	17	51
2	Kashima Antlers	27	16	3	8	40:26	14	51
3	Machida	28	15	5	8	42:26	16	50
4	Kashiwa Reysol	27	14	8	5	40:27	13	50
5	Vissel Kobe	28	15	5	8	36:26	10	50
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	28	15	4	9	33:19	14	49
7	Urawa Reds	27	12	8	7	38:30	8	44
8	Kawasaki Frontale	27	11	9	7	45:35	10	42
9	Okayama	27	11	6	10	26:23	3	39
10	Cerezo Osaka	27	10	8	9	41:38	3	38
11	Avispa Fukuoka	27	9	10	8	27:26	1	37
12	Gamba Osaka	28	11	4	13	33:40	-7	37
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	27	8	8	11	30:35	-5	32
14	Verdy	27	8	7	12	16:28	-12	31
15	FC Tokyo	27	8	6	13	29:41	-12	30
16	Nagoya Grampus	27	7	7	13	33:41	-8	28
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	27	6	7	14	26:34	-8	25
18	Shonan Bellmare	27	6	7	14	22:42	-20	25
19	Yokohama FC	27	6	4	17	18:35	-17	22
20	Albirex Niigata	27	4	8	15	27:47	-20	20

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Cerezo Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	QQ Sports
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan